MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04902a65e055235dcc6ed18c97a77270306ddf7e4ebb54a4b1b6d1a4c60eee6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Under | 54c | 102,201$55,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,012.55 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 46c | 37,953$17,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,458.35 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 32,609$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 11,005$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020.99 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 63c | 7,944$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.33 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 7,409$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 57c | 4,588$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 3,926$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.25 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 3,314$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 2,549$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 42c | 2,433$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.43 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 1c | 2,385$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 2,029$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 1,508$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.87 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 77c | 1,318$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 42c | 1,184$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,086$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.56 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 47c | 803$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.97 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 629.82$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.72 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 516.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.48 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 480$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 67c | 415$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.12 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 382.7$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 32c | 360.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.51 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 296$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 289$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 67c | 251.07$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 240.74$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 214.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 204.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 35c | 172.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 46c | 146.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 46c | 146$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 24c | 128.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Over | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 43c | 105.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 53c | 102.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 16c | 89.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 47c | 89.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 47c | 88.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 61c | 78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Over | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 38c | 74.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 76c | 70.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 65.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 66c | 60.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 53.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a62bbacked Over | 47c | 52.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 53c | 52.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 38c | 45.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b16…66d3backed Under | 54c | 43.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 54c | 41.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 47c | 41.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Over | 47c | 40.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 40c | 37.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 56c | 33.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cca…efe9backed Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…4928backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Under | 53c | 30.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 43c | 27.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Under | 66c | 17.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 80c | 15.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…50e5backed Under | 80c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…0f77backed Under | 80c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7922…4b7ebacked Under | 80c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb448…2db6backed Under | 80c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1f…cebdbacked Under | 80c | 14.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco GiantsWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.