TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,729,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,269,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,729,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6979…c2a3backed Yes7c297,000$19,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277,456.671050%5 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+356.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes8c289,262$23,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265,392.941050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+86.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb3e…e4bfbacked Yes1c179,305$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177,457.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+4,753.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes1c175,881$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174,266.293212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+255.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes1c165,827$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,249.81277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+296.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes3c133,987$3,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,065.218140.7%33 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes8c117,166$9,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,273.161414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c115,423$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,450.4222927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes47c112,333$53,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,141.19214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-89.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3327…d03bbacked Yes2c93,891$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,095.54333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick3cpaid+1,643%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes1c90,567$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,400.58468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid+96.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes1c77,569$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,782.2914315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…c44ebacked Yes1c68,351$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,754.81100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+11,371.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94c4…43cabacked Yes26c64,424$16,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,847.126144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5e…3d71backed Yes1c63,888$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,234.113928.2%11 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+345.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Yes4c50,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,149.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+800.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786a…94a7backed Yes2c45,247$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,561.94195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+247.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x869a…f6b7backed No2c42,978$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.51040%4 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes63c40,161$25,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,952.616943.5%30 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes2c36,326$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,471.6323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4733…93a2backed Yes5c35,896$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,275.561100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+2,114.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes1c34,198$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,704.011816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+323%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes8c32,802$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,051.881010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…afe7backed Yes2c30,585$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,984.781100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,997.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes7c30,243$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,183.843560%21 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+213.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes4c29,449$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,211.927425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce7…6b90backed Yes2c29,412$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,707.81540%6 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+255.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0755…117bbacked Yes1c29,057$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,756.631100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+9,585.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes28c26,816$7,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,367.6110235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes1c26,666$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,506.43119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick1cpaid+1,415.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes5c25,012$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,810.622718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes31c24,235$7,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,643.464626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c7…1d56backed Yes5c23,776$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,675.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+980.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes2c22,688$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,165.821478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed No38c21,216$8,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,135.21333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2acc…cfedbacked No0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes3c19,453$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,884.067626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…9919backed Yes30c19,432$5,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,564.621526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick18cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes2c19,329$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,033.21825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+738.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c18,148$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,631.22673%2 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc31…67fabacked Yes6c18,065$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,902.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+553.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No57c17,923$10,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,265.371315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Yes59c17,478$10,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,133.921520%3 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-65.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d5…683cbacked Yes2c16,793$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,504.863100%3 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+2,144.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x335c…26a5backed Yes2c16,777$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,387.51100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,202.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf16…01cbbacked Yes4c16,729$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,031.931100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,300.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31e2…98a8backed Yes1c16,667$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,566.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+8,233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe82…5c81backed Yes5c15,891$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,140.859333.3%31 W · 62 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+76%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes4c15,472$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,894.933013.3%4 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick25cpaid+21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes3c15,471$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,980.36128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+163%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x517b…fe53backed Yes1c15,281$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,190.31911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick1cpaid+1,766.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c4…9b79backed Yes4c14,442$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,814.63425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+475.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6693…3653backed Yes3c14,412$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,039.511100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,770.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes5c14,352$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,584.753327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes1c13,840$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,647.42695.8%4 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+148.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed No5c13,753$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.6650%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes1c13,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,819.562412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+224.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…a307backed Yes2c12,793$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,580.961100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+5,933%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf862…474abacked Yes4c11,957$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,471.681100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,365.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32d0…a065backed Yes4c11,937$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,510.86425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+600.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c11,300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,194.635111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes6c11,253$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,585.365721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa88d…9830backed Yes1c11,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,011.11911.1%1 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick1cpaid+1,134.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa63e…2b41backed Yes6c10,863$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,262.583100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+700.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0957…77e8backed No76c10,789$8,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,215.763158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1616…896cbacked Yes3c10,667$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,388.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+2,449.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes2c10,602$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4143141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+205.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb91…79ebbacked Yes5c10,312$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,767.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,796%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8137…34f1backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes56c9,990$5,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,422.671947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes56c9,936$5,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,334.751625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c9,697$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,604.428122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes2c9,639$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,432.651074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564f…7034backed Yes3c9,638$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,336.61283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes59c9,599$5,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.291625%4 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2882…ac60backed Yes4c9,523$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,106.671100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,189.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d4…e175backed Yes1c9,253$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,188.091050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+1,421.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes2c9,198$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,018.49664.5%3 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x943f…43a7backed Yes1c8,708$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,608.34175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick1cpaid+412.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cce…8c59backed Yes1c8,641$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,512.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+2,147.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…47cabacked Yes3c8,048$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,807.01714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick4cpaid+377.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x410b…cf55backed Yes5c7,889$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,498.64119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid+83.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347c…35f4backed Yes16c7,858$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,631.681315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick9cpaid-36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Yes35c7,758$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,081.61770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9194…f1debacked Yes1c7,557$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,494.541100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+11,926.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Yes46c7,359$3,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,937.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked Yes1c7,320$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,268.84263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+451.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes3c7,200$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,958.364012.5%5 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa277…ea05backed No2c7,162$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.071816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick8cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc822…a169backed Yes8c7,089$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,539.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+329.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2f…b226backed No66c7,000$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d64…738ebacked Yes4c6,979$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,670.771010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x290e…aa36backed Yes2c6,876$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.68250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,191.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb70…7ed5backed Yes7c6,817$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,361.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+765%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfafa…a39fbacked Yes7c6,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,166.67425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…e9a6backed Yes7c6,584$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+685.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe8b…4154backed Yes1c6,556$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,496.56425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes8c6,500$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,979.99540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick14cpaid+187%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb481…72d8backed Yes3c6,399$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.051100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,099.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes7c6,323$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,853.37352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.