Music · resolved market
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2baed9d4160afbaf16209d5e2d309393904cd4815b1db17c27630bb34637cd13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,472,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,241,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,472,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Yes | 10c | 306,532$30,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,962.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 12c | 200,095$23,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,742.11 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…d725backed Yes | 12c | 100,176$12,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,505.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…0da3backed Yes | 12c | 78,669$9,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,370.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5856…e2b1backed Yes | 1c | 60,272$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc917…c359backed Yes | 11c | 53,700$6,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,156.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 4c | 50,350$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.76 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 13c | 42,229$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 10c | 42,000$4,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.54 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 8c | 41,343$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.86 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 38,866$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 11c | 38,827$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.5 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 12c | 36,563$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…bb84backed Yes | 5c | 35,765$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.54 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +323%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 2c | 34,962$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.54 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcc…76a2backed Yes | 13c | 33,071$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 2c | 26,421$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.57 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 11c | 25,369$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.18 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7b…974fbacked Yes | 11c | 23,097$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.91 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 2c | 23,050$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.61 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 12c | 21,944$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 11c | 18,524$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.41 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 7c | 18,422$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 11c | 17,452$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.16 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 12c | 17,016$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.92 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…a065backed Yes | 12c | 16,956$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +600.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 11c | 16,641$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.69 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 0c | 12,826$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…6906backed Yes | 15c | 12,322$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…a256backed Yes | 11c | 12,211$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 4c | 11,884$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 10,850$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.95 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…ab26backed Yes | 12c | 10,711$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 11c | 10,215$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c5cebacked Yes | 11c | 10,039$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…fe1abacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…cf55backed Yes | 13c | 9,244$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 11c | 8,965$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.98 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +560.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…9cb3backed Yes | 12c | 8,871$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes | 2c | 8,729$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 8,644$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 10c | 8,221$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.08 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 11c | 8,061$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.46 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d23…b31cbacked Yes | 11c | 7,944$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 12c | 7,914$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 2c | 7,858$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,639$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 7,638$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Yes | 3c | 7,548$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 11c | 7,371$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.44 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8865…23f0backed Yes | 14c | 7,262$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 11c | 6,927$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.48 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…1b74backed Yes | 2c | 6,865$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 3c | 6,834$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 11c | 6,482$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.65 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 11c | 6,454$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.85 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked Yes | 13c | 6,363$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…cda9backed Yes | 7c | 5,977$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…0060backed Yes | 12c | 5,973$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…cfebbacked Yes | 4c | 5,926$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 5,892$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.93 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 10c | 5,882$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.75 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ff…0c7fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,815$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 11c | 5,646$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Yes | 2c | 5,632$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…0b34backed Yes | 2c | 5,521$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 11c | 5,416$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.28 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…1158backed Yes | 13c | 5,299$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 2c | 5,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 12c | 5,217$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.94 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 11c | 5,185$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.04 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 11c | 5,030$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.58 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 11c | 5,014$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.88 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…28f5backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 4,988$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.88 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…7112backed Yes | 12c | 4,945$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 11c | 4,899$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.22 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e6…6ad1backed Yes | 1c | 4,810$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,787$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 12c | 4,682$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.67 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…b1adbacked Yes | 13c | 4,540$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 1c | 4,518$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…14abbacked Yes | 1c | 4,444$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…b76ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,118$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 13c | 4,079$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 12c | 4,013$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.18 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.99 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 9c | 4,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…4d33backed Yes | 11c | 3,920$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 12c | 3,899$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.1 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12e…7fd0backed Yes | 7c | 3,842$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 3,812$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…1acebacked Yes | 10c | 3,771$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,767$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.23 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +163%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…17ddbacked Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6aefbacked Yes | 10c | 3,732$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 9c | 3,585$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.48 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…e742backed Yes | 4c | 3,532$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.