TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,764,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,030,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,764,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c1,196,968$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.3414315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c458,031$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.12219.5%2 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick3cpaid-63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c369,117$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.86362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-91.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9c…6421backed Yes0c199,999$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80090%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c172,876$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.82651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes0c138,186$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.74296.9%2 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-86.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c128,982$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.965111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb261…7211backed Yes0c103,599$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+272%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c81,705$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.41170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d34…9bc2backed Yes0c76,123$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d50…b166backed Yes0c57,631$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.93210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes0c51,667$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes0c49,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+255.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes0c49,435$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.316334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad5e…e2f0backed Yes0c40,219$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3797…efeabacked Yes0c40,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c39,999$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80561.8%1 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-82.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf464…6983backed Yes0c26,526$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dcb…b2afbacked Yes0c21,207$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-92.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e79…af9ebacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa1…7c65backed Yes0c19,000$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfdb…d762backed Yes0c17,795$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.78100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes0c15,548$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa719…0f74backed Yes0c15,500$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes1c14,999$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.214835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c13,811$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.43160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c11,851$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.05210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c11,482$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.328122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes1c10,388$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.42810.7%3 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+174.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c10,337$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0622927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfc…4516backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2f…de0cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2818…af7bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-43.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ed…e634backed Yes0c10,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c9,522$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.15230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes1c9,329$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.117723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c8,450$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ae…9910backed Yes0c8,112$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c7,952$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.677416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…7034backed Yes1c7,887$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.09283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes1c7,542$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.05323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3f…0413backed Yes0c7,362$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…abcebacked Yes0c7,235$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb610…0f48backed Yes0c7,235$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd22…65bbbacked Yes0c7,235$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606d…dfc4backed Yes0c7,235$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ff…49e0backed Yes0c7,235$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes0c7,150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c6,703$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.58583.4%2 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+202.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dfa…b205backed Yes0c6,700$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf883…115cbacked Yes0c6,666$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f1…80f2backed Yes0c6,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333%1 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid+152.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4241…4da7backed Yes1c6,086$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes0c5,907$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51695.8%4 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+148.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes0c5,290$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.58150%0 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd955…49c0backed Yes0c5,262$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes0c5,227$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+846.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e0…072abacked Yes0c5,200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb46…c248backed Yes0c5,060$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2675…e4dabacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick2cpaid+112.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd815…a05abacked Yes1c5,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes0c4,950$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes0c4,934$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.74300%0 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked Yes0c4,800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+451.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes1c4,569$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8210235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4089…99d5backed Yes0c4,546$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c4,361$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.93673%2 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x525c…a7d5backed Yes0c4,342$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae13…16c6backed Yes0c4,285$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c5…1127backed Yes0c4,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f47…0073backed Yes0c4,121$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes0c3,950$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1230%0 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eda…1c80backed Yes0c3,950$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a62…8b90backed Yes0c3,950$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20eb…0321backed Yes0c3,950$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500b…17c5backed Yes0c3,931$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.02190%0 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc8…08c1backed Yes0c3,783$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes0c3,752$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33533.8%2 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb71b…8352backed Yes0c3,693$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0677…2a28backed Yes0c3,667$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb444…2ca7backed Yes0c3,560$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c62…cd27backed Yes0c3,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc06…00edbacked Yes0c3,493$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8646…76e1backed Yes0c3,493$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88d…2f65backed Yes0c3,400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316d…692dbacked Yes0c3,353$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…89e1backed Yes0c2,993$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef95…e3aebacked Yes0c2,953$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8d…0002backed Yes0c2,950$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4d…9f4abacked Yes0c2,930$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e2…c694backed Yes0c2,833$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b4…4a10backed Yes0c2,725$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd8…e7e0backed Yes0c2,670$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes0c2,641$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.051074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa680…5350backed Yes0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.