Music · resolved market
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab4e2dc2c2dced60ec220d1a3fa1258d0e513e21814438e5d7e59e53c5d08c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,202,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,646,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,202,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 2c | 254,079$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,201.4 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 179,439$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.1 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 97,302$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.15 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…304cbacked Yes | 2c | 71,276$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…fbeabacked Yes | 1c | 52,073$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 3c | 48,700$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.1 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 3c | 47,444$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.33 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Yes | 7c | 39,544$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.59 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 1c | 37,132$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 4c | 36,188$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.16 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 1c | 32,100$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 4c | 27,406$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 3c | 26,226$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.47 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 25,083$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 3c | 23,672$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.61 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 4c | 23,616$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.39 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 5c | 22,421$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.36 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 21,153$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 2c | 20,991$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.68 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 20,316$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.08 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…fcccbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 1c | 19,782$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.95 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 18,570$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.01 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 1c | 17,572$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 1c | 17,031$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…25c1backed Yes | 1c | 16,538$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 16,318$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…0716backed Yes | 2c | 16,159$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 3c | 16,090$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.13 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…5839backed Yes | 0c | 15,853$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e1…8b56backed Yes | 6c | 15,175$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…6b25backed Yes | 1c | 14,796$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…ae69backed Yes | 3c | 14,530$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f13…cde1backed Yes | 0c | 14,077$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 3c | 13,794$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.22 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 13,454$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.88 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 3c | 13,435$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.18 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 12,559$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.47 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 2cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2927backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +195.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 12,127$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.35 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…880bbacked Yes | 2c | 12,035$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 11,808$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.66 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed Yes | 1c | 11,216$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 11,100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 4c | 10,685$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.17 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 10,463$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.44 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…9e19backed Yes | 6c | 10,198$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ea…b92ebacked Yes | 4c | 10,099$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb705…e280backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…6b7cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,884$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +176.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed Yes | 1c | 9,673$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…0f09backed Yes | 3c | 9,632$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b21…b8debacked Yes | 2c | 9,587$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…8e3bbacked Yes | 5c | 9,551$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 1c | 9,301$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…cfebbacked Yes | 1c | 9,295$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe607…91fcbacked Yes | 0c | 8,788$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…fd0abacked Yes | 1c | 7,715$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 7,361$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.68 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 4c | 7,246$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +817.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…5c28backed Yes | 1c | 7,106$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…b549backed Yes | 1c | 6,941$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…c9f3backed Yes | 1c | 6,902$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 4c | 6,666$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.64 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…d70dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,574$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…4b22backed Yes | 0c | 6,540$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes | 0c | 6,424$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…d2bfbacked Yes | 2c | 6,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 4c | 6,200$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.49 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 4c | 6,065$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 4c | 5,961$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.83 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 4c | 5,817$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 6c | 5,599$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.26 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…281bbacked Yes | 4c | 5,563$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…0fd5backed Yes | 3c | 5,327$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Yes | 4c | 5,306$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.11 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2ce7backed Yes | 4c | 5,267$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 3c | 5,102$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 2c | 5,032$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +1,685.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…7a92backed Yes | 1c | 4,529$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 2c | 4,471$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…7f49backed Yes | 2c | 4,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…a248backed Yes | 1c | 4,167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 5c | 4,103$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 1c | 4,032$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +1,766.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 2c | 4,017$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 3c | 3,884$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…4570backed Yes | 1c | 3,862$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29d…256abacked Yes | 3c | 3,846$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…26fbbacked Yes | 5c | 3,673$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…895fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 5c | 3,612$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…6b90backed Yes | 6c | 3,511$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.