Music · resolved market
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdde103389d3a3dcc18d57bfba9495faf5105b0f02054714d9c2bc830483d59fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,091,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,515,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,091,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 508,842$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.35 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 374,994$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.98 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 155,143$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.31 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 1c | 151,405$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 89,999$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 1c | 86,833$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 86,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 0c | 82,953$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 79,998$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…1f24backed Yes | 1c | 77,016$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 1c | 70,781$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.87 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 1c | 69,998$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 67,113$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 1c | 52,999$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…1472backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf03…891abacked Yes | 0c | 48,065$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 0c | 43,581$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 0c | 42,334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…0ac6backed Yes | 1c | 35,269$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…ad29backed Yes | 0c | 31,999$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…68f0backed Yes | 0c | 31,975$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 29,888$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 0c | 29,326$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 1cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…1afabacked Yes | 0c | 26,320$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 0c | 25,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +1,415.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 0c | 25,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 25,730$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 25,624$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…af2cbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…813abacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 1c | 22,866$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 0c | 21,810$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd982…b496backed Yes | 0c | 21,634$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 1c | 21,091$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.34 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebe…408ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…8b16backed Yes | 1c | 20,311$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,847$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…c29dbacked Yes | 0c | 18,560$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 18,301$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 1c | 18,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 2c | 17,876$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.07 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…ce50backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 0c | 16,868$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…43a7backed Yes | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +412.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 1c | 16,345$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.19 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…6f55backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 2c | 14,994$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.65 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +163%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b0…78f7backed Yes | 1c | 14,759$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 0c | 14,430$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 1c | 14,388$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 14,355$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.69 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…bbddbacked Yes | 0c | 13,754$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 13,696$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf82…cdd7backed Yes | 0c | 13,667$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,230$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 1c | 12,814$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed Yes | 0c | 12,435$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…15ffbacked Yes | 1c | 11,500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 11,339$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 0c | 10,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 10,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…f6cfbacked Yes | 1c | 10,180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…3bbcbacked Yes | 1c | 10,166$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…62b2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…60a5backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4330…af2fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…944dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…ea05backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…22e5backed Yes | 1c | 9,055$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…754dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,910$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,750$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 0c | 8,590$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +747.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 8,454$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,193$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…bb84backed Yes | 0c | 8,168$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +323%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7a…6ce6backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 7,673$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 7,250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 7,250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…fe1abacked Yes | 1c | 7,143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 7,053$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,022$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…55eabacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…841dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,969$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 6,768$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ac…586cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…e08dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,644$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 8cpaid | +500.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…7149backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 0c | 6,343$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…018ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…304cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes | 1c | 5,978$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 0c | 5,879$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +846.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.