Music · resolved market
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e235eb1b3be07337a2a424d5e616e8759263f5d078c99604f177da7276d92a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,728,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,419,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,728,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 1,094,411$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230.13 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 419,306$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.48 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 0c | 333,733$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 333,274$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.1 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 197,401$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.28 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e0fabacked Yes | 0c | 187,730$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 0c | 166,134$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 137,299$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.2 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…35bdbacked Yes | 1c | 111,461$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 106,249$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 91,929$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.43 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…f906backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 0c | 62,999$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…a7a5backed Yes | 0c | 60,868$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.33 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 0c | 53,695$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.22 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0419…a533backed Yes | 1c | 53,441$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…9354backed Yes | 0c | 42,475$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…f8d6backed Yes | 1c | 42,001$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Yes | 0c | 40,270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 0c | 36,025$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 33,332$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 1cpaid | +1,134.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 0c | 32,995$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 31,665$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0208…e660backed Yes | 0c | 29,633$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef83…efa7backed Yes | 0c | 28,328$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…615abacked Yes | 0c | 28,140$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…601abacked Yes | 0c | 27,777$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 0c | 26,755$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +1,766.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…35f4backed Yes | 0c | 25,983$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…e26dbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 24,607$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 0c | 24,387$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…6857backed Yes | 1c | 22,893$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ea…9406backed Yes | 2c | 22,271$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…43a7backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +412.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,964$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1113…e8cebacked Yes | 1c | 18,060$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…997fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,651$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…4ccfbacked Yes | 1c | 15,815$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Yes | 1c | 15,254$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…34f4backed Yes | 0c | 14,420$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 1c | 14,111$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 2c | 13,906$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…a427backed Yes | 0c | 13,223$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…7af0backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 1cpaid | +2,930.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 11,850$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 1c | 11,832$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…1b00backed Yes | 1c | 11,388$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…886abacked Yes | 1c | 11,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 0c | 10,454$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…0241backed Yes | 0c | 10,360$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf73…6b87backed Yes | 1c | 10,157$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…8ad9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b0…649abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…4223backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…7c65backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,682$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…3e58backed Yes | 1c | 9,674$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…31b8backed Yes | 0c | 9,587$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c0…3283backed Yes | 0c | 8,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 7,792$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed Yes | 0c | 7,573$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 7,540$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 1c | 7,512$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 7,312$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 0c | 7,215$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…50e5backed Yes | 0c | 7,007$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +449%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…cf76backed Yes | 1c | 6,988$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 0c | 6,943$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes | 1c | 6,880$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 6,813$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b1…f2e9backed Yes | 0c | 6,699$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d84…425ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…c4c7backed Yes | 1c | 6,469$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…80f2backed Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 6,111$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…a784backed Yes | 0c | 5,966$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 5,930$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 5,715$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 5,650$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…7b60backed Yes | 1c | 5,572$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 5,542$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…3a40backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 5,438$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…9e72backed Yes | 0c | 5,370$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…accbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,069$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…62b2backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…dcc7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…7287backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517c…e3fcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…5921backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.