Music · resolved market
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07db61e5a466a01a5c8612c88a01758cdcf9e16e056cfa3b5d8bc9c3b1af7701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,407,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,074,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,407,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 303,691$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.33 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 222,600$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.48 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 205,971$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.32 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 171,521$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.92 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 141,501$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.06 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 1c | 130,936$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.95 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 1c | 105,792$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.51 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 0c | 91,541$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.62 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe770…8c6bbacked Yes | 3c | 87,489$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 85,388$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 83,031$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.2 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 82,251$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.91 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 81,077$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.42 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…bb84backed Yes | 1c | 57,128$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.18 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +323%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 1c | 52,051$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.31 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 49,896$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 1c | 49,471$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.35 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…997fbacked Yes | 1c | 38,370$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 1c | 36,934$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…8360backed Yes | 1c | 32,434$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 1c | 32,247$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.45 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 1c | 32,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +1,415.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96cf…befebacked Yes | 1c | 28,784$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 28,426$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.09 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 0c | 26,929$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 24,708$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.72 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 2c | 24,453$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…38dfbacked Yes | 1c | 24,106$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 0c | 23,999$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…5995backed Yes | 1c | 23,452$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 1c | 22,938$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 1c | 22,023$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aac…a4e8backed Yes | 1c | 20,538$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 0c | 20,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes | 1c | 20,350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…ad5abacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…8d39backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 2c | 18,534$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…b944backed Yes | 1c | 17,995$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…35f4backed Yes | 1c | 17,542$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Yes | 1c | 17,537$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 1c | 17,353$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Yes | 1c | 16,341$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…2b85backed Yes | 2c | 16,110$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…2056backed Yes | 1c | 15,827$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…100abacked Yes | 0c | 15,626$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…6a50backed Yes | 1c | 15,595$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 15,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 1c | 15,129$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…0eacbacked Yes | 1c | 14,669$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 1cpaid | +1,134.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 0c | 14,228$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +747.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…8570backed Yes | 1c | 13,606$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2368…93e3backed Yes | 1c | 12,703$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…43a7backed Yes | 1c | 12,445$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +412.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 1c | 12,100$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 11,850$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…d4d5backed Yes | 0c | 11,674$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 1c | 11,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 1c | 11,139$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 11,010$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 1c | 11,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +1,766.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…d2efbacked Yes | 1c | 10,969$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…f2c1backed Yes | 1c | 10,758$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…3118backed Yes | 1c | 10,320$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,185$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…27aebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5071…59c8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…a537backed Yes | 1c | 9,807$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 1c | 9,738$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…9bbebacked Yes | 1c | 9,677$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…9b41backed Yes | 0c | 9,657$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 1c | 9,500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 8,958$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 1c | 8,557$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 0cpaid | +1,986.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…3633backed Yes | 1c | 8,336$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6d…078abacked Yes | 1c | 8,179$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +451.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf698…71f2backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 0c | 7,497$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb705…e280backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf74…d478backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed Yes | 1c | 6,905$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…4c69backed Yes | 1c | 6,789$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,666$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…17dbbacked Yes | 1c | 6,650$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…fb4ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,572$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 6,255$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 6,204$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…d762backed Yes | 0c | 6,188$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…b379backed Yes | 1c | 5,728$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.