Music · resolved market
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78547b8ae17c8a584116cc36c30ebbdab2591de259d35868958d806f4c3c211d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,637,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,177,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,637,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Yes | 11c | 267,581$28,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,257.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 7c | 172,126$11,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,593.76 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 8c | 139,481$10,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,959.21 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 8c | 127,977$9,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,888.59 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 6c | 120,556$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.55 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc335…9faebacked Yes | 20c | 106,937$21,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,290.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 17c | 95,433$15,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,789.65 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…cddebacked Yes | 28c | 83,096$23,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,441.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc917…c359backed Yes | 20c | 79,179$16,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,155.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 6c | 72,473$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.29 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 23c | 66,953$15,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,579 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 6c | 63,180$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 78c | 60,905$47,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,456.61 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 6c | 52,592$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…7310backed Yes | 5c | 51,511$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 6c | 47,800$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.82 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 13c | 46,918$5,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,872.94 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Yes | 10c | 43,434$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed No | 77c | 42,925$33,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,782.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 8c | 42,772$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.65 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes | 6c | 41,014$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.44 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 5c | 40,513$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.3 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 6c | 39,683$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.45 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 17c | 36,002$6,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,135.11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 9c | 33,791$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed No | 72c | 33,565$24,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,347.33 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 32,414$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.9 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 31,350$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.47 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 7c | 24,730$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.61 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 12c | 24,247$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.68 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 7c | 22,578$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.94 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 19,621$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.54 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 4c | 19,530$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.01 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 18,539$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.5 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 8c | 17,542$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.87 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 10c | 16,376$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.16 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 16,358$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.8 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 20c | 16,262$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 9c | 16,019$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.06 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 9c | 15,991$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.62 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c5cebacked Yes | 9c | 15,590$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 20c | 15,053$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.57 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 7c | 15,000$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…9cb3backed Yes | 8c | 14,999$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 16c | 14,909$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.03 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Yes | 9c | 14,531$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.33 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 6c | 14,012$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.47 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 29c | 13,760$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 78c | 13,601$10,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 22c | 12,709$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 6c | 12,530$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +817.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes | 7c | 12,463$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 76c | 12,130$9,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,821$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 7c | 11,713$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.02 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 11,693$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.02 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 30c | 11,449$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…6621backed Yes | 0c | 10,910$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 5cpaid | +1,051.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…6906backed Yes | 25c | 10,894$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Yes | 23c | 10,837$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 80c | 10,706$8,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…cf55backed Yes | 9c | 10,613$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.36 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 5c | 10,495$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.68 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…4950backed Yes | 26c | 10,099$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 24c | 10,008$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 4c | 9,863$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 7c | 9,838$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 73c | 9,791$7,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 7c | 9,630$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.73 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 6c | 9,450$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 29c | 9,158$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.14 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 75c | 8,826$6,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 16c | 8,717$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.67 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Yes | 11c | 8,707$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 75c | 8,688$6,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 13c | 8,630$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 8,229$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.54 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23aa…4008backed No | 78c | 8,005$6,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 7,918$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.58 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 27c | 7,798$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 18c | 7,740$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.98 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 76c | 7,043$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 75c | 7,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 5c | 7,000$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…f94bbacked Yes | 27c | 6,975$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes | 11c | 6,822$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.93 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…802dbacked Yes | 21c | 6,690$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…6b90backed Yes | 14c | 6,509$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked Yes | 18c | 6,482$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 6c | 6,358$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.29 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 66c | 6,140$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…a39fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,671$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 14c | 5,661$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 8c | 5,613$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.56 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 6c | 5,471$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.38 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…86bfbacked Yes | 30c | 5,464$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 5,372$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 27c | 5,304$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 72c | 5,186$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.