Music · resolved market
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1a5aa2f2bad83ac7efacfa77328930a010b3eb6208313767b591bb3757bea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,682,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,036,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,682,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 1,132,974$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.12 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 1,057,963$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.94 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 0c | 296,743$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 247,314$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.26 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 123,367$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.73 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 119,999$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 100,156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…908bbacked Yes | 0c | 90,605$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 0c | 65,669$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 37,050$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 34,829$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.47 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 0c | 30,971$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 1c | 30,181$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.39 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 0c | 27,507$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 27,482$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…43a7backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +412.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 21,816$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 20,800$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…bb86backed Yes | 0c | 19,660$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 0c | 17,640$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…d762backed Yes | 0c | 13,705$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 1c | 12,840$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…1d22backed Yes | 1c | 11,460$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…32a1backed Yes | 0c | 10,160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…d956backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…8fd9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…fab9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc171…aa19backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 1c | 9,999$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…89efbacked Yes | 0c | 9,768$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 9,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 9,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…991abacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 1cpaid | +1,751.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…9e24backed Yes | 0c | 8,740$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…ee59backed Yes | 0c | 8,553$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 8,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 8,050$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…9362backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +451.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…492fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,667$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…4d0bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…0ae8backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 7,350$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 7,350$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…c72fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,432$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…80f2backed Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,192$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 6,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…bdbbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…ec62backed Yes | 0c | 5,600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 5,450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…100fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,366$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b4…47b2backed Yes | 0c | 5,343$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…5773backed Yes | 0c | 5,311$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa719…0f74backed Yes | 0c | 5,291$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 1c | 5,017$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…dcc7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 2cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…4574backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…a05bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…d681backed Yes | 0c | 4,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 4,650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 4,650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…3a14backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…c35abacked Yes | 0c | 4,390$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 4,140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…82bdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 3,755$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe11…990bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 3,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…9cf5backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 3,496$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…dfa0backed Yes | 0c | 3,250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc074…b437backed Yes | 0c | 2,978$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…8cecbacked Yes | 0c | 2,968$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…430ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,958$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…bfe5backed Yes | 0c | 2,908$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…8b10backed Yes | 0c | 2,895$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…dd25backed Yes | 0c | 2,893$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,860$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…3b26backed Yes | 0c | 2,820$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…1169backed Yes | 0c | 2,815$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7f…5576backed Yes | 0c | 2,798$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…ada9backed Yes | 0c | 2,798$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…0d17backed Yes | 0c | 2,793$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2115backed Yes | 0c | 2,778$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,777$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 1c | 2,775$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…5e79backed Yes | 0c | 2,728$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 2,691$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…bbf5backed Yes | 0c | 2,643$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…282abacked Yes | 0c | 2,635$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…a05abacked Yes | 1c | 2,600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.