Music · resolved market
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28872d7d6f63cc8e4172a1825ce9694898f3e94e1f6f97496896d77bb54ef502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,904,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,575,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,904,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 3c | 698,302$17,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,545.02 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 3c | 198,741$6,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.49 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 150,313$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.63 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 2c | 117,925$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.71 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…551abacked Yes | 3c | 104,898$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 103,775$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.85 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 2c | 103,073$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.97 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 3c | 69,004$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.4 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 3c | 63,665$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.52 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 2c | 60,700$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.39 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 58,472$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.26 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 3c | 41,737$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 3c | 40,361$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.36 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 37,904$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.99 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 3c | 37,552$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.98 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 37,488$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.62 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 34,387$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a48…497ebacked Yes | 2c | 34,033$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b12…42e2backed Yes | 2c | 31,459$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Yes | 2c | 30,627$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…ba77backed Yes | 1c | 29,205$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 2c | 28,373$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.92 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb60b…5726backed Yes | 2c | 28,169$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 2c | 27,931$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.78 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed Yes | 4c | 25,152$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 24,525$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.35 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Yes | 3c | 24,077$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 2c | 20,664$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 2c | 20,422$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.2 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 2c | 19,951$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.1 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 19,137$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.96 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 18,932$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.95 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 3c | 16,497$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +817.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 15,834$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 15,783$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.85 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 1c | 15,363$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…6a87backed Yes | 1c | 15,121$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 6c | 14,486$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +163%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 5c | 13,364$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe260…aca1backed Yes | 2c | 12,922$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 12,859$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.48 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6220…a452backed Yes | 2c | 12,415$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…30ddbacked Yes | 3c | 12,306$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 2c | 11,944$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.74 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 11,597$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.79 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…1b40backed Yes | 2c | 11,295$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 3c | 11,244$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.72 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 2c | 11,177$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.04 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 10,976$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…1c14backed Yes | 2c | 10,797$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes | 3c | 10,769$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…bb84backed Yes | 3c | 10,551$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.33 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +323%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 2c | 10,499$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.48 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa227…2d40backed Yes | 3c | 10,347$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…f883backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…616abacked Yes | 2c | 9,849$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 3c | 9,584$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.23 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…296ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,217$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 16cpaid | +208.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 2c | 8,997$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 2c | 8,984$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…d413backed Yes | 1c | 8,948$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5856…e2b1backed Yes | 2c | 8,853$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 8,832$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…8728backed Yes | 2c | 8,696$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…0ce6backed Yes | 1c | 8,651$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 2c | 8,507$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 3c | 8,316$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.9 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…18e4backed Yes | 3c | 8,229$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 2c | 8,121$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…4e93backed Yes | 2c | 7,843$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 4c | 7,749$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.47 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…612dbacked Yes | 4c | 7,644$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 2c | 7,624$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…4b5bbacked Yes | 2c | 7,576$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes | 3c | 7,563$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df2abacked Yes | 2c | 7,373$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…2072backed Yes | 4c | 7,235$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked Yes | 1c | 7,220$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked Yes | 2c | 7,178$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…fc59backed Yes | 2c | 6,761$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,602$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.96 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…4103backed Yes | 2c | 6,441$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…06edbacked Yes | 3c | 6,428$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 2cpaid | +491.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…4dc4backed Yes | 3c | 6,075$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…ba59backed Yes | 2c | 5,982$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…cf55backed Yes | 2c | 5,875$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…9417backed Yes | 1c | 5,857$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de8…76babacked Yes | 2c | 5,705$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8086backed Yes | 2c | 5,614$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 5c | 5,578$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,526$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1387…24a7backed Yes | 1c | 5,526$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd6…e69cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,475$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…1588backed Yes | 2c | 5,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,203$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,133$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +168%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 2c | 5,129$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 2c | 5,026$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.