TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,075,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,353,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,075,605 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c818,665$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.15160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b46…1263backed Yes0c399,999$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9c…6421backed Yes0c285,259$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.0490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c206,599$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.2651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c200,100$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7614315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa579…aad0backed Yes0c184,235$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.49296.9%2 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-86.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb261…7211backed Yes0c173,663$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.33462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+272%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c169,761$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2322927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c147,897$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.69362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-91.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes0c106,230$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.69260%0 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x156b…baa0backed Yes0c100,300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c85,125$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.125111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa1…7c65backed Yes0c62,500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d50…b166backed Yes0c59,168$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100561.8%1 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes0c49,975$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9580%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c49,774$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.55170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2724…6d08backed Yes0c46,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980a…a509backed Yes0c34,995$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes0c32,500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a42…fab9backed Yes0c28,460$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.841010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid-51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes1c26,981$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.652810.7%3 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+174.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes0c26,100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.73214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed Yes0c23,391$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.395819%11 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c20,400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes1c20,189$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.332412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+224.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc56…e7e1backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes0c18,120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2416334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0873…09e8backed Yes0c16,554$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa719…0f74backed Yes0c16,100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes0c13,940$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+846.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes1c12,230$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.595721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes1c11,684$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3797…efeabacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…d956backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8943…3be1backed Yes0c9,954$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51612.5%2 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+414.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c9,750$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes0c9,703$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.117416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf040…3a86backed Yes0c9,178$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f1…80f2backed Yes0c8,333$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333%1 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid+152.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a2…169bbacked Yes0c7,950$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked Yes0c7,838$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+451.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdb…db7abacked Yes0c7,577$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c44…f0ddbacked Yes0c7,477$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes1c7,321$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.75323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes0c7,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1460%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…c5dbbacked Yes0c6,993$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eda…1c80backed Yes0c6,700$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500b…17c5backed Yes0c6,700$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1190%0 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c5…1127backed Yes0c6,700$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1180%0 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfa…b205backed Yes0c6,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c6,127$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes0c5,932$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+73.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes0c5,750$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c5,750$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c62…cd27backed Yes0c5,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8d…0002backed Yes0c5,450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c5,441$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.77219.5%2 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick3cpaid-63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3441…3283backed Yes0c5,200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1230%0 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564f…7034backed Yes1c5,145$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.16283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea4…dd30backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x772c…0151backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid+227%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5d…e6e8backed Yes0c4,764$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a62…8b90backed Yes0c4,750$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d6…40dbbacked Yes0c4,474$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…51c8backed Yes0c4,400$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6261…c51fbacked Yes0c4,330$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes0c4,035$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8533.8%2 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dbe…d681backed Yes0c4,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb415…93f9backed Yes0c3,950$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c3,948$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28583.4%2 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+202.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b4…9c0ebacked Yes0c3,943$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81cd…efe4backed Yes0c3,933$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a69…5676backed Yes0c3,917$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…838cbacked Yes0c3,863$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d7…a977backed Yes0c3,854$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a3…5e0bbacked Yes0c3,835$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b63…d4d1backed Yes0c3,830$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e3…d600backed Yes0c3,788$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x093d…3ae2backed Yes0c3,767$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf606…2781backed Yes0c3,749$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…05fcbacked Yes0c3,749$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a2b…b7c6backed Yes0c3,742$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6547…19e6backed Yes0c3,742$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…3b45backed Yes0c3,742$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb695…3192backed Yes0c3,742$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a55…934bbacked Yes0c3,680$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b8…948abacked Yes0c3,660$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b70…5d1fbacked Yes0c3,623$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d2…b1dfbacked Yes0c3,613$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8f…a7eabacked Yes0c3,577$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917e…1831backed Yes0c3,553$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ac…85d2backed Yes0c3,533$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf09…0bbbbacked Yes0c3,527$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed5…4d48backed Yes0c3,527$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…13afbacked Yes0c3,497$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30e7…41b7backed Yes0c3,495$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ba…8571backed Yes0c3,397$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c8…615fbacked Yes0c3,377$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.