Music · resolved market
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda3350bc16ec1c54978a76eaae962efb8630a22bc00d296d769f15c2e51ecaf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,653,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,709,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,653,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 1c | 518,092$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.51 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 393,558$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.97 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 304,999$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 1c | 204,857$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 1c | 190,154$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 176,405$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.89 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d6d6backed Yes | 1c | 166,970$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 1c | 158,887$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.4 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes | 1c | 125,231$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.04 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 103,144$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.78 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…7b80backed Yes | 1c | 87,662$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 61,090$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.08 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 1c | 55,976$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 45,514$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9e…899ebacked Yes | 0c | 41,010$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eab…5ceabacked Yes | 1c | 39,573$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 1c | 39,363$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 1c | 36,857$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 35,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c0…9b01backed Yes | 1c | 33,663$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…b06ebacked Yes | 1c | 33,445$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 1c | 32,269$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 1c | 28,608$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.86 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 27,640$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 26,824$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.22 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 1c | 25,708$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.88 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…65ddbacked Yes | 1c | 25,415$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 1cpaid | +1,134.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…bf08backed Yes | 3c | 22,988$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 1c | 22,228$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…17afbacked Yes | 1c | 21,234$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +420.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes | 1c | 21,091$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…9354backed Yes | 0c | 20,585$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…cc72backed Yes | 1c | 20,256$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 18,933$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 2c | 18,692$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…4792backed Yes | 1c | 18,585$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 1c | 17,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…b898backed Yes | 1c | 16,807$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 1c | 16,798$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f8…44fdbacked Yes | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d5…281fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,665$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 1c | 15,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 14,677$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 2c | 14,629$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.86 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf356…211abacked Yes | 1c | 14,627$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…7af0backed Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 1cpaid | +2,930.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 0c | 12,498$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa219…0bcfbacked Yes | 1c | 12,108$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…1821backed Yes | 1c | 12,007$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 1c | 11,548$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 0cpaid | +1,986.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 1c | 11,510$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 1c | 11,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +1,415.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…8669backed Yes | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +367%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed Yes | 1c | 11,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,682$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 1c | 10,498$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…d847backed Yes | 2c | 10,455$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 10,345$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…2860backed Yes | 1c | 10,252$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14a…9e30backed Yes | 1c | 10,120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +1,685.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4d75backed Yes | 1c | 9,605$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6de…19b5backed Yes | 0c | 9,073$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,923$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +451.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,512$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +1,487.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes | 1c | 8,346$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…2fb3backed Yes | 1c | 8,328$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 2cpaid | +1,654.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 8,044$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe5…b470backed Yes | 1c | 8,009$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 1c | 7,894$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 7,854$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…50e5backed Yes | 0c | 7,840$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +449%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 1c | 7,714$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 7,703$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Yes | 1c | 7,566$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 6,961$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 6,831$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 1c | 6,667$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 6,554$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 6,397$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 1c | 6,224$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…018ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,811$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…133ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,775$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 5,772$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407f…57e4backed Yes | 1c | 5,707$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…4a94backed Yes | 1c | 5,697$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a171backed Yes | 1c | 5,600$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…fb37backed Yes | 1c | 5,555$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes | 1c | 5,523$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…b101backed Yes | 1c | 5,400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…34cebacked Yes | 1c | 5,255$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes | 1c | 5,128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713e…408fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.