MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca21a6f3635b31df81a914cdb7d224fd3d362513208dab9314179c90df70399f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $545,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $563,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 49,842$20,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,908.07 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,600 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 33,057$16,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,662.64 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 22,919$9,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,751.4 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 21,111$8,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,455.47 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 19,624$7,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,774.37 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 19,400$8,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,221.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 16,829$8,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,538.59 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 15,881$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 13,865$8,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 12,192$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.2 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 11,468$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.97 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 10,000$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…09e8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 9,319$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 9,273$5,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.87 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 8,495$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 8,320$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,454.58 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 8,099$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 7,401$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.13 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 6,970$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 6,457$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.43 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 6,030$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.07 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 4,759$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.36 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 4,067$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.53 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 3,929$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.02 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 3,776$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.09 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 3,334$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.84 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,306$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.05 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 3,250$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,977$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 2,843$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,662$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.54 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 2,565$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.55 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,533$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.42 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 2,470$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.38 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 2,419$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,212$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.4 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.22 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,769$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.71 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,706$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.03 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,593$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,590$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,535$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.18 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,526$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.92 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,514$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.4 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,507$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.21 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,474$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.88 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 1,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,399$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.33 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,222$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.43 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 1,183$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.85 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,155$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.99 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,135$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 1,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…7ddebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 930.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 910.63$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.89 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 899.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 864.47$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 856$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 848.97$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.49 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 809.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 806.49$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.83 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 685$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.15 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 680.48$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.8 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 662.65$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 627.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 600$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 599.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.17 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 583.6$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.07 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 573.88$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.37 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 572$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.2 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 571.12$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 570.38$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.49 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 560.07$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.92 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 491.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.31 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 455.67$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.4 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 454.02$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.33 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 440.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.