MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb17c4016feed4228c2f83bcc5d27772be79413c532a3b702c9a28ecc7264c42b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Over | 51c | 37,958$19,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,599.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 47c | 25,957$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,757.11 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 24,393$11,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,952.57 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 14,525$7,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,262.36 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 51c | 11,389$5,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782.56 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 6,565$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.09 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 5,492$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 4,850$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.97 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Under | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 4,001$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.59 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 3,222$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 2,558$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 2,033$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.61 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 1,777$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.93 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,684$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 1,354$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Under | 52c | 1,223$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.5 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 1,183$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.93 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 814.98$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Under | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 721.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.31 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 717.98$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.81 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 694.32$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 689.59$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.9 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 652$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 48c | 523.93$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.37 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 78c | 424$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 50c | 416$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 77c | 311.29$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 76c | 254.76$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 50c | 215.44$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 201.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 52c | 186.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 54c | 183.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 178.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 175$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 171.04$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 51c | 156.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 49c | 154.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 51c | 153.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 72c | 135.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 124.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 122.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 15c | 98.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 51c | 89.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 28c | 82.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 26c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 51c | 79.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 20c | 75.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 28c | 75.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 50c | 74.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 51c | 68.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 24c | 67.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…e101backed Under | 61c | 65.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…ad02backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 54.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 51c | 54.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 50.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5521…442abacked Under | 50c | 49.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…e6cebacked Under | 52c | 47.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 29c | 45.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 47c | 43.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 29c | 40.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…3956backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…438abacked Under | 54c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…3893backed Under | 54c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 51c | 27.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.