TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Over51c37,958$19,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,599.511442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over47c25,957$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,757.115248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c24,393$11,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,952.5792054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under53c18,868$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c14,525$7,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,262.3655053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91a…3987backed Under51c11,389$5,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,782.5613561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c6,565$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.091,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c5,492$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.1711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c4,902$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.961,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c4,850$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.974,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Under53c4,717$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c4,001$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.5932152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under50c3,222$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6111,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c2,558$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.426,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under50c2,033$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.613,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c1,777$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.931,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,684$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.795,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c1,354$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.3610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Under52c1,223$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.55846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.982,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under49c1,183$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.938,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under50c1,000$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49555052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c962$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.241,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c814.98$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.41,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Under53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over48c721.99$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.312,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over51c717.98$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8154152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over39c694.32$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.429,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c689.59$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.91,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c652$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32659549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c523.93$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.372,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24025249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under78c424$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.721,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under50c416$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20870154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over77c311.29$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.178,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over76c254.76$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.386,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under50c215.44$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7232857.9%190 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over51c201.66$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.811,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3124950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under52c186.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7821350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under54c183.09$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.878648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c178.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.088,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c175$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9177050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c171.04$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.41,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Over51c156.84$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8517250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under49c154.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.813,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over51c153.88$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.451555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over72c135.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.662,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x523c…2c05backed Under50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6513053.1%69 W · 61 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c124.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.111,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Under50c122.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.222941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013155.7%73 W · 58 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over48c99.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.992,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under15c98.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9913946.8%65 W · 74 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over51c89.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7845246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under50c86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4378155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over28c82.36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.31,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under26c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4541637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over51c79.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8940554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under20c75.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3341836.4%152 W · 266 L-31.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under28c75.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.41,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under50c74.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.781,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.928848.9%43 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ead…0b4dbacked Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa20d…eadebacked Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520446.6%95 W · 109 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over51c68.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3852449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under24c67.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.235,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bfc…e101backed Under61c65.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b7…ad02backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under52c57.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017462.6%109 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c54.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.484,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over51c54.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6918551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…04edbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under24c50.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.352,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5521…442abacked Under50c49.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.621435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5e…e6cebacked Under52c47.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under29c45.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c44.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under47c43.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.081,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119243.5%40 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under29c40.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8316261.1%99 W · 63 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…3956backed Over51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Under50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611149.5%55 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x856e…438abacked Under54c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831d…3893backed Under54c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Over51c27.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3726753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.