MLB · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7604eec7c62d5343bf977d03fcc81eae0d602bc20229ed5bcb565387a201d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Toronto Blue Jays, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 22,986$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 17,934$13,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 16,369$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 13,252$7,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 11,690$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 8,192$4,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.55 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 5,915$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.97 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 5,725$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.61 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 4,822$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 4,208$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.72 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 4,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 3,990$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.72 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,485$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.79 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,280$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 2,258$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 2,050$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 1,295$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.34 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,283$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.37 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 1,250$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.9 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,176$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.96 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,100$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,000$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.67 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…1579backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 993.37$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…439cbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 986.02$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 946.4$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.26 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…bf72backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 943.03$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 821$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 820.34$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 777$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 739.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 707.08$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 675.14$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 657.83$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.71 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 619.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c3…6603backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 555.23$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +180%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 530.37$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.56 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 492.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 468.75$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 459.38$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…9453backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 442.68$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 385$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 383.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 379.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 361.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 301.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 295.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 286.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 278.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 265$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 257.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 217.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 148.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 146.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 142.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 134.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 106.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 106$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…95afbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 98.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 97.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 96.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Miami Marlins | 76c | 93.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…1057backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 84.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 80.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 78.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 77.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 75.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 53.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 50.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 41.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…4406backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 39.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 38.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 34.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Miami Marlins | 71c | 33.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.