World Politics · resolved market
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x360229ef7e200995eeedfab6fd63514c8a43fcee803e8ac6dbe17065bd024d60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,144,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $830,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,144,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 229,145$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,816$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…a953backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…77f8backed Yes | 14c | 29,153$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 28,840$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked Yes | 17c | 28,642$4,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa378…18fabacked Yes | 46c | 16,234$7,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,467.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 16,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 30c | 16,044$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.41 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 63c | 14,384$9,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,339.13 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb3…1ddabacked Yes | 46c | 14,050$6,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…9163backed No | 56c | 13,237$7,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 22c | 10,893$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.83 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 23c | 9,443$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Yes | 23c | 8,942$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.74 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f5…0718backed No | 54c | 8,434$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…4a80backed No | 54c | 8,434$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked Yes | 27c | 8,189$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…61dcbacked Yes | 2c | 8,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…5601backed No | 54c | 7,800$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 77c | 7,627$5,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.31 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 77c | 7,364$5,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.45 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 7,305$5,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.78 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…26e8backed Yes | 44c | 5,696$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 35c | 5,206$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.58 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 76c | 5,131$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.19 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…a1e6backed Yes | 44c | 4,328$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Yes | 35c | 4,232$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7e09backed Yes | 20c | 3,942$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…975cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,565$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…f322backed Yes | 2c | 3,561$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 41c | 3,554$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked No | 67c | 3,549$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 66c | 3,470$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.56 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…5668backed Yes | 41c | 3,373$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d2…fb27backed Yes | 23c | 3,281$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 7c | 3,093$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.04 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 29c | 3,090$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.36 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 63c | 3,072$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.94 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 22c | 2,835$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.01 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,728$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 33c | 2,617$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 21c | 2,505$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…8874backed Yes | 39c | 2,492$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 75c | 2,403$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.44 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,400$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…e3bdbacked Yes | 44c | 2,327$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…6167backed Yes | 32c | 2,312$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 25c | 2,291$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.08 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 35c | 2,237$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…c5f0backed Yes | 11c | 2,118$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked No | 72c | 2,112$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.63 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f02ebacked Yes | 40c | 2,100$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 19c | 1,846$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,807$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 23c | 1,719$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.58 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,672$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,515$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…d710backed Yes | 17c | 1,504$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8122…6490backed Yes | 33c | 1,413$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…4067backed Yes | 35c | 1,386$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…60c9backed No | 73c | 1,364$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 35c | 1,356$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.53 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 26c | 1,352$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.66 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,339$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,338$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 1c | 1,302$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…8e51backed Yes | 47c | 1,284$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 25c | 1,248$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.23 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…3c88backed Yes | 19c | 1,114$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed Yes | 31c | 1,096$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 61c | 1,079$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.62 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 1,065$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.38 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a2…5ccfbacked Yes | 38c | 1,064$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 75c | 1,049$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.51 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…7199backed Yes | 2c | 1,041$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 66c | 1,023$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 65c | 1,019$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.64 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed No | 70c | 1,003$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked Yes | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked No | 70c | 999.96$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d79…1671backed No | 74c | 985.83$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 25c | 943.61$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.91 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x688b…728bbacked Yes | 2c | 900.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5c…a5e8backed Yes | 44c | 886$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…f147backed No | 74c | 843.76$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 16c | 829.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…554cbacked Yes | 35c | 823.4$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +307.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 26c | 800.3$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.05 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…1ababacked No | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 3c | 791.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…00b3backed Yes | 28c | 786.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 32c | 786.29$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f71…9c46backed Yes | 16c | 763.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?this page
- Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes won
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.