TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$777,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$475,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…a88dbacked Yes1c103,737$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.79911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-84.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c27,639$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.24440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes0c25,099$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.32420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3659…0451backed Yes0c24,999$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25360%0 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes0c23,374$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.75410%0 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6475…1bf6backed Yes0c22,990$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c15,600$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8892.2%2 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4e…5502backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15160%0 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0873…09e8backed Yes0c11,551$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55290%0 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77b…8171backed Yes0c9,655$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a83…4908backed Yes0c9,549$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88e0…0198backed Yes0c9,513$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a35…7868backed Yes0c9,494$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b17…6adbbacked Yes0c9,373$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d7…c9e1backed Yes0c9,370$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…8186backed Yes0c9,333$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f54…7f79backed Yes0c9,323$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf040…3a86backed Yes0c8,434$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.69234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c6,972$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.81691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa181…2e0fbacked Yes1c4,128$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf714…0289backed Yes1c4,028$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes0c2,941$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.73372.7%1 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd768…7156backed Yes0c2,620$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd026…2763backed Yes2c2,618$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes1c2,600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31358.1%11 W · 124 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5f…4d22backed Yes0c2,598$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb528…00c0backed Yes1c2,481$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick4cpaid+624.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d8…c3efbacked Yes1c2,382$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+80.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc1…00d8backed Yes2c2,316$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…1f5abacked Yes2c2,229$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613e…c5f8backed Yes1c2,215$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…329bbacked Yes2c2,189$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1693…e5ebbacked Yes2c2,180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a9…6326backed Yes2c2,160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f87…0901backed Yes2c2,098$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c37…a529backed Yes2c2,074$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc1…9452backed Yes2c2,060$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d9…8665backed Yes2c2,038$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4454…cc2ebacked Yes2c2,031$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd5…e8adbacked Yes1c2,018$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c1…b890backed Yes2c1,924$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec0…8f01backed Yes2c1,915$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38f…0b1dbacked Yes2c1,842$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25fa…455fbacked Yes2c1,835$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6341…bca9backed Yes2c1,789$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccb0…d863backed Yes1c1,734$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f8…e454backed Yes1c1,727$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b5…4330backed Yes2c1,719$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c1,674$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.821664.2%7 W · 159 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ab…ad9abacked Yes2c1,585$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f33…68d7backed Yes1c1,582$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d9…1fd3backed Yes2c1,579$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes1c1,557$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.352543.5%9 W · 245 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ee…cf75backed Yes2c1,539$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca00…dc89backed Yes1c1,532$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e4…c128backed Yes2c1,488$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1feb…3f78backed Yes2c1,478$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…6809backed Yes2c1,439$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6223…6d15backed Yes1c1,403$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4288…4f37backed Yes2c1,367$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…f0b6backed Yes2c1,363$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde4b…18b8backed Yes1c1,274$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa23…f9dabacked Yes1c1,243$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbb…8e8ebacked Yes2c1,240$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x760f…ccfcbacked Yes2c1,208$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf9…f2f3backed Yes1c1,201$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf87…ebc0backed Yes1c1,182$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd94d…73c9backed Yes1c1,169$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x509b…aefabacked Yes2c1,108$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f86…573cbacked Yes2c1,106$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e47…21fcbacked Yes2c1,013$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa51…ef1bbacked Yes2c975$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8307…ce8dbacked Yes2c941$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a38…6e55backed Yes2c923$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6662…3503backed Yes4c921.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.891010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…8a55backed Yes2c918$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7217…9c40backed Yes1c915$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e7…33a4backed Yes1c901$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86bc…835fbacked Yes1c896$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f17…1da4backed Yes2c880$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7099…4222backed Yes1c852$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec43…f187backed Yes2c840$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9d…aababacked Yes2c840$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167e…8af3backed Yes2c827$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ae…84e5backed Yes1c766$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x527c…3c43backed Yes1c742$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf076…a736backed Yes2c593$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddb…1111backed Yes2c573$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.