World Politics · resolved market
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc11e997578fa83b91b9a0838d90379960628d4834d887c6c5c427576834bc675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $825,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $825,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 152,615$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.35 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 0c | 89,910$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 0c | 50,311$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 38,032$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 32,260$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 1c | 28,422$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 0c | 21,067$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6549backed Yes | 1c | 18,279$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…6b02backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…2777backed Yes | 0c | 12,124$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 11,538$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.09 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 8,101$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed Yes | 2c | 5,140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Yes | 1c | 4,940$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed Yes | 3c | 4,292$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 1c | 3,750$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…1a4dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,654$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…3171backed Yes | 3c | 3,567$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,541$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f37…1303backed Yes | 4c | 3,423$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 1c | 3,341$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427b…978cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,135$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +713%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…f1aabacked Yes | 3c | 3,019$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…004dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,001$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eff…69d2backed Yes | 4c | 2,919$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…383cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,900$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…72d4backed Yes | 3c | 2,800$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…a365backed Yes | 4c | 2,718$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 8c | 2,606$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 2,577$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…4588backed Yes | 3c | 2,538$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…e6d8backed Yes | 2c | 2,529$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…b220backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…b517backed Yes | 3c | 2,287$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…5897backed Yes | 4c | 2,281$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e76…9e6ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,148$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e78bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,965$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…ed32backed Yes | 3c | 1,957$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,942$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0481…595dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,923$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…5eddbacked Yes | 3c | 1,883$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…6743backed Yes | 2c | 1,853$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,811$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 1c | 1,803$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…27e4backed Yes | 3c | 1,787$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,784$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9533backed Yes | 3c | 1,635$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,580$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683f…27dbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,572$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,562$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 2c | 1,558$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…2891backed Yes | 2c | 1,522$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e25…79c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,516$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea7…1a03backed Yes | 3c | 1,471$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 1c | 1,443$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3a…f596backed Yes | 1c | 1,428$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,409$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…f1e0backed Yes | 1c | 1,403$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…55fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 1c | 1,287$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…920cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,269$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 3c | 1,237$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…2fc2backed Yes | 10c | 1,180$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,176$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 1c | 1,111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 2c | 1,107$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…44cdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,097$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…a6f1backed Yes | 3c | 1,092$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…e639backed Yes | 1c | 1,090$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb246…41c3backed Yes | 3c | 1,049$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +713%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…72e8backed Yes | 2c | 1,047$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…e149backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +713%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d2…21bdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,025$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…9d49backed Yes | 1c | 1,003$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 5c | 999.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…d3dfbacked Yes | 3c | 995$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…c55ebacked Yes | 1c | 988$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 1c | 982.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…5358backed Yes | 4c | 974$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa546…fa04backed Yes | 10c | 963$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 926.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 4c | 925.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…19bcbacked Yes | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…3b63backed Yes | 3c | 897$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 841.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 166 | 4.2%7 W · 159 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa12…34cabacked Yes | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 1c | 776.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 2c | 733.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…b33cbacked Yes | 10c | 691$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…b988backed Yes | 2c | 687$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +410.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 2c | 670.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…100abacked Yes | 10c | 664$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…0fa8backed Yes | 2c | 637$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…5430backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…92bbbacked Yes | 2c | 620.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…6cafbacked Yes | 10c | 611$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 609.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?this page
- Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes won
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No won
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.