MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfeeea3cf12637207676ce37202b450238a902a1ae50b0b44a4a68d89f3cba2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $933,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $917,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb188…8d5bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 104,000$51,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,832.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 67,637$33,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,393.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 65,707$33,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,196.62 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,999.94 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 49,661$20,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,178.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 40,584$21,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,502.28 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 37,947$16,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,811.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 35,628$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 35,321$15,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,814.22 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 33,333$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.66 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 29,676$14,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,421.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 28,387$13,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,042.43 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 27,821$12,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,583.35 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 27,391$8,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,343.73 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 21,739$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 20,133$9,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,641.9 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 15,285$7,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 14,649$10,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,252.87 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 14,074$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,755.52 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 13,061$6,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.45 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 11,360$5,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,566.4 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 10,489$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,559.13 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 10,047$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,047.44 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 9,118$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,929.95 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 8,323$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.33 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 5,526$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.5 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 5,436$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.39 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 5,021$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.45 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…701fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 4,741$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 4,679$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.03 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 4,513$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.58 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 4,204$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 4,001$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.49 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,999$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.78 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,980$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.42 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 3,850$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 3,667$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,266$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.34 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 3,186$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.18 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 2,969$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed San Francisco Giants | 74c | 2,828$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.81 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 2,595$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.41 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,588$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.78 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…3e13backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 2,427$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,256$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.32 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,102$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.43 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,002$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 1,990$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.76 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,819$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.91 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 1,750$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,730$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.8 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 1,710$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.63 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…0e6fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,656$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…9514backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 1,653$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.16 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,469$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 1,443$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.51 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.97 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,390$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.17 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,274$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 79c | 1,240$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.39 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 1,235$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.04 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 1,064$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.89 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…c92dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.46 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,039$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.08 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 992.4$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.21 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 983.4$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 981$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…b8dbbacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 915.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 913.04$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.04 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 888$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.55 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…5f9cbacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 877.92$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 836$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 826.53$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.53 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.