TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$933,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$917,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb188…8d5bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks49c104,000$51,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,832.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants49c67,637$33,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,393.5910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c65,707$33,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,196.6223948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks55c60,000$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,999.9477053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants41c49,661$20,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,178.172,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants53c40,584$21,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,502.2898149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks43c37,947$16,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,811.8712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed San Francisco Giants35c35,628$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5001,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks44c35,321$15,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,814.224,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants48c33,333$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.661,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants49c29,676$14,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,421.664,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants46c28,387$13,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,042.4392054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants45c27,821$12,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,583.352,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Arizona Diamondbacks29c27,391$8,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,343.7382636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked San Francisco Giants46c21,739$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c20,133$9,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,641.913534.1%46 W · 89 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks52c15,285$7,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,336.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed San Francisco Giants70c14,649$10,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,252.872770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c14,074$7,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,755.521,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c13,061$6,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,141.451,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked San Francisco Giants49c11,360$5,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,566.417853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c10,489$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,559.1385645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c10,047$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,047.4423846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Arizona Diamondbacks55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed San Francisco Giants15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.991637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Arizona Diamondbacks24c9,118$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,929.955330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks50c8,323$4,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.3311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants46c6,522$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c5,526$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.51,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants26c5,436$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.393,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed San Francisco Giants48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50028042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c5,021$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.455,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…701fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks39c4,741$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked San Francisco Giants48c4,679$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.0311748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed San Francisco Giants53c4,513$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.5866050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c4,204$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.156,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants52c4,001$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.492,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c3,999$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.782,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants48c3,980$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.421,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed San Francisco Giants47c3,850$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80028944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks49c3,667$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.699,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants49c3,266$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.341,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants50c3,186$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.185,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3806650%33 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3806050%30 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3806349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3806645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed San Francisco Giants22c2,969$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.892437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed San Francisco Giants74c2,828$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.811,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants51c2,595$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.411,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks52c2,588$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.7879147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Arizona Diamondbacks78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.117951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…3e13backed Arizona Diamondbacks76c2,427$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Arizona Diamondbacks55c2,256$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.325050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Arizona Diamondbacks48c2,102$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.4311848.3%57 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c2,002$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9409657.3%55 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c2,000$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.9914647.3%69 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks78c1,990$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.763,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0834756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks38c1,819$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.9146239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Arizona Diamondbacks55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1810750.5%54 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks37c1,750$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10526618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks36c1,730$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.817417.2%30 W · 144 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants47c1,710$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.631,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff92…0e6fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks54c1,656$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.831457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f4…9514backed San Francisco Giants63c1,653$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.164725.5%12 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks58c1,469$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62095045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked San Francisco Giants41c1,443$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.516415.6%10 W · 54 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-47.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c1,400$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.974656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c1,390$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.179652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c1,321$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c1,274$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.548,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks79c1,240$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.391,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants14c1,235$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.048,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51725240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks52c1,088$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.241,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks61c1,064$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.892,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed San Francisco Giants48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50473748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dec…c92dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks52c1,043$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.4610459.6%62 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks24c1,042$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.67850%4 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+156.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c1,039$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.083,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Arizona Diamondbacks55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45016848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants56c992.4$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.211,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants69c983.4$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.766,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46d1…8d0ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks51c981$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4812650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed San Francisco Giants53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006942%29 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcd…b8dbbacked San Francisco Giants2c915.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.841010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-80.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Arizona Diamondbacks34c913.04$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.0434045%153 W · 187 L+1.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Arizona Diamondbacks54c900$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4145653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Arizona Diamondbacks34c888$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.551,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked San Francisco Giants75c877.92$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked San Francisco Giants45c836$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.269453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks49c826.53$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.535448.1%26 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.