MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x259ad70b314b298a778a8271fbcd02169d1856b47a3740dcafd20d573b1ae93a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 136,216$69,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,779.54 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 44,443$22,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,965.95 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 50c | 26,885$13,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,442.54 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 49c | 16,324$7,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,998.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 43c | 16,168$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.54 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 51c | 8,600$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 7,741$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.01 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 4,638$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.46 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 3,897$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.08 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 3,744$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.47 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 3,678$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.82 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 3,484$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.01 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…46a8backed Over | 43c | 3,086$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 49c | 2,984$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.27 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 2,618$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.33 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 2,369$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 2,278$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.41 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 1,826$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.05 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 51c | 1,184$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.05 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 50c | 1,013$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.49 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 763.02$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.51 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 49c | 759.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 714$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 652.86$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.96 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 51c | 546.24$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.66 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 32c | 535.9$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 509$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.59 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 485.9$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 446.77$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 58c | 413.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 57c | 410.67$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 410.66$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 317.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 32c | 310.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 61c | 296.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 51c | 293.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Over | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 53c | 224$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Over | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 209.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Over | 50c | 195.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…8cd7backed Over | 32c | 188.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 45cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 51c | 183.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 51c | 156.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 154.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 125$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 61c | 119.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 109$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 52c | 104.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Under | 56c | 103.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 28c | 95.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 56c | 88.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 73.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 52c | 72.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 66.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 33c | 59.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 50c | 59.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Under | 76c | 52.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 51c | 52.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 38c | 45.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…1d98backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 39.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 50c | 37.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 44c | 37.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.