TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7df2…8cd7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$72.11
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$30.41
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$91.1
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.72
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.97
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liubacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.42
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Camila Osoriobacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.32
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$39.23
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.97
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Waltonbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.14
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Fariabacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.83
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.21
Chisinau: Daniil Glinka vs Liam Broadybacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.53
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Chenting Zhubacked Yidi Yang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+76%+$25.58
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$123.54
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.24
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.88
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.96
Set Handicap: Landaluce (-1.5) vs Prado (+1.5)backed Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.72
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$41.52
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.16
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.37per pick45cpaid-82.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.57
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.49
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.96
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$85.65
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.28
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.96
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+124.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$79.21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$40.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.69
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)backed Tōkyō Verdy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$86.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechiabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.