MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189d831cce8ef125ec02e5dd23f932567e17e474b7725a8b7ca515fa9fe29dce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Kansas City Royals, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 54,188$24,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,220.43 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 25,555$12,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,010.85 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 18,000$9,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.97 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 17,968$9,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,109.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 17,562$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,811.94 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 15,904$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 14,947$7,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,025 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 14,894$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 12,479$8,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463.56 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 10,870$6,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.65 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 9,269$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,356.43 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 7,991$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 7,589$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.84 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 5,096$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.15 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 3,273$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.73 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…86eabacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 2,094$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,809$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.71 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,525$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 1,276$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,181$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.22 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,091$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.84 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 922.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.56 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 824$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.04 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 75c | 792$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 757.94$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.76 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 719.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.3 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 662.22$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 76c | 612.56$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 608.67$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.47 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 539$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 487.38$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 482.24$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 399.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 371.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.77 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 356.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 328.48$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 316.29$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 301.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 299.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 276$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 241.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 199.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 198.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Kansas City Royals | 9c | 198$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 197.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 192.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 188$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 186.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 185.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…aa8fbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…e2c4backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 180.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 180.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…9e66backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 178.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb11…f67cbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 173.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…9f96backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 171.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 170.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…07f8backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 154.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 148$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 140.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58f…130dbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2830…bde6backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 137.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e7…c6e8backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 136.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…62aabacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 136.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 135.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…5282backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 134.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Kansas City Royals | 28c | 123.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…8d59backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 120.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 111.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…b675backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 109.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 245 | 44.1%108 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3040…6b90backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…afa2backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 92.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 346 | 44.8%155 W · 191 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Texas Rangers | 80c | 91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-7.5)Texas Rangers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.