TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd2e7…c6e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.8
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.52
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$51.16
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$48.34
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34.74
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$83.23
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$116.81
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$70.21
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$63.65
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$102.15
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$211.96
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$136.93
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$226.93
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$137.46
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$77.78
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$39.28
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.8
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.71
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.17
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$58.88
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$30.38
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.1
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$70.97
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$153.18
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$183.68
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$276.3
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+132.6%+$257.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$61.31
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.28
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.89
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.49
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$85.12
All 5 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$188.03
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$71.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$83.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.