NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb210f491fa8b8b48ce40b9dbbb043bcb74db214d1473c0ebce11d324484381bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,854,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,867,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,854,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 998 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 64c | 311,758$198,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,396.25 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 31c | 208,951$63,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,831.79 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 63c | 68,563$43,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,073.41 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 59,999$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,499.76 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies | 37c | 53,304$19,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,722.37 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 7c | 50,777$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies | 37c | 50,271$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600.13 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Warriors | 63c | 48,407$30,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,910.74 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Grizzlies | 37c | 46,674$17,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,269.37 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 41,181$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.8 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 41,175$15,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,478.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Grizzlies | 38c | 37,349$14,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,192.52 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Grizzlies | 38c | 26,850$10,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,118.23 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 62c | 24,357$15,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,227.19 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…6f90backed Warriors | 58c | 24,018$13,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,087.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…8295backed Grizzlies | 42c | 24,018$10,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,087.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 18c | 23,994$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.74 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Warriors | 62c | 23,095$14,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,776.04 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 62c | 23,013$14,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,756.99 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Grizzlies | 38c | 22,761$8,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,649.18 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies | 38c | 22,249$8,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,454.72 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 22,114$8,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,182.01 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Grizzlies | 39c | 22,100$8,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,619 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Warriors | 61c | 22,100$13,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,618.94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Warriors | 63c | 21,698$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,097.61 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…a7c8backed Grizzlies | 39c | 21,541$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Grizzlies | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Warriors | 61c | 17,694$10,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.79 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies | 4c | 17,606$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Grizzlies | 40c | 15,000$5,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,960 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Warriors | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.98 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Warriors | 62c | 14,999$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.79 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Grizzlies | 38c | 14,841$5,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661.98 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Grizzlies | 36c | 14,668$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.42 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 14,107$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 14,081$5,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,166.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies | 27c | 13,111$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.53 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 0c | 12,054$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 11,923$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 11,600$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 11,363$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.47 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 62c | 11,236$6,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.68 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 12c | 10,353$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 36c | 10,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Warriors | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 9,559$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.56 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Grizzlies | 36c | 8,320$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.21 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Warriors | 60c | 8,100$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.99 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 63c | 7,944$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.14 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 61c | 7,823$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 6,698$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.77 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Warriors | 62c | 6,519$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.35 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Grizzlies | 36c | 6,417$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.43 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Grizzlies | 6c | 6,400$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c8…bb9ebacked Grizzlies | 13c | 6,163$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 15c | 6,063$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.99 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Warriors | 65c | 6,012$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.81 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.97 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Grizzlies | 38c | 5,644$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.86 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…a62fbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 5,597$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…26a0backed Warriors | 62c | 5,400$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Warriors | 64c | 5,239$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.17 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…0644backed Warriors | 61c | 5,128$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…bb91backed Grizzlies | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7382…6a76backed Warriors | 61c | 5,082$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Warriors | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…2b17backed Warriors | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…eef2backed Grizzlies | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…4b0dbacked Warriors | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8940…2786backed Grizzlies | 39c | 4,872$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Warriors | 61c | 4,700$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.84 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 60c | 4,588$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.1 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 4,524$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.51 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 37c | 4,502$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…3b20backed Grizzlies | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Warriors | 70c | 4,452$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.22 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…8f96backed Grizzlies | 36c | 4,426$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Grizzlies | 41c | 4,248$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.59 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Warriors | 62c | 4,240$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.8 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Warriors | 67c | 4,020$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Warriors | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Warriors | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 3,394$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.67 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 3,333$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…fbf1backed Warriors | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…3436backed Grizzlies | 39c | 3,087$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 39c | 3,050$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Grizzlies | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Warriors | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…775cbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Grizzlies | 0c | 2,955$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 39c | 2,946$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.93 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…eee6backed Grizzlies | 39c | 2,900$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…dec9backed Warriors | 61c | 2,900$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Grizzliesthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.