TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

GG Jackson II: Points O/U 14.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,446 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Yes51c4,705$2,382 inWon+$2,323.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No50c2,032$1,009 inLost-$1,009.3247354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed No48c705$338 inLost-$338.431455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed No49c649$317 inLost-$316.8436954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No50c602$301 inLost-$3011,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No48c544.22$259 inLost-$259.081,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No50c326.15$163 inLost-$163.0893145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed No50c200$100 inLost-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Yes52c192.52$100 inWon+$92.524742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed No49c140$69 inLost-$68.810444.2%46 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes50c130$65 inWon+$64.7632352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Yes55c105.85$58 inWon+$47.639458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked No50c100$50 inLost-$5043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed57…83f4backed Yes51c88$45 inWon+$43.122161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes52c77.47$40 inWon+$37.4715149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes52c77.1$40 inWon+$37.114547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No49c66.39$33 inLost-$32.783158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc250…5eafbacked Yes52c65.78$34 inWon+$31.782050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…23ccbacked No50c60$30 inLost-$302030%6 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked No48c30$14 inLost-$14.43740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.