NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e884225eac217c7e17a1a2142f0e5516e62e89a6e454c2e31389d5dade47d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $455,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 152,588$74,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,202.29 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Warriors | 52c | 55,435$28,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,535.41 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…94c7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 29,175$14,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,295.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…03c9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 25,923$12,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,702.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f1…6da8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 25,009$12,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,254.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 20,833$10,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,207.99 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e5…97c7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 20,273$9,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,933.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…8f96backed Warriors | 52c | 19,273$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,272.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Warriors | 51c | 14,545$7,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,127.05 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 51c | 13,768$7,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,746.43 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 51c | 13,261$6,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,497.76 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies | 48c | 10,035$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.02 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Grizzlies | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 51c | 9,499$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Warriors | 51c | 8,824$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.53 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Warriors | 51c | 7,841$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.63 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 51c | 7,693$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Warriors | 51c | 7,014$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,436.64 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Warriors | 51c | 6,182$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.38 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Warriors | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1135backed Warriors | 51c | 5,246$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Warriors | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,845$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Warriors | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 48c | 4,124$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.58 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Warriors | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3619…a62fbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7f…c9edbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,730$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Warriors | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…89e4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,266$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 51c | 2,201$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,048$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.05 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,022$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.41 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.96 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…75a8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,909$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…2edfbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,517$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,504$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.96 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Warriors | 51c | 1,302$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.06 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…04f8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,281$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a4…30fdbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,227$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d8…c159backed Warriors | 51c | 1,213$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…83e0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,208$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd4…013ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,204$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…a054backed Warriors | 51c | 1,203$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…c5c4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,196$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Warriors | 52c | 1,192$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.31 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7c…51a2backed Warriors | 51c | 1,192$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…45f3backed Warriors | 51c | 1,185$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde94…2c4ebacked Warriors | 51c | 1,179$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1189backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,177$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a92…5ec7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,167$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7761backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,165$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8259backed Warriors | 51c | 1,165$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…4647backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,162$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…b5a7backed Warriors | 51c | 1,161$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…3bc3backed Warriors | 51c | 1,160$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…3b06backed Warriors | 51c | 1,159$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…8682backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,155$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…52afbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,147$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…f8d3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,142$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6026…a819backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,140$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…f612backed Warriors | 51c | 1,140$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…7719backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,139$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…d0bebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,133$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aef…fd19backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,131$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…8e49backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,130$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…4b5ebacked Warriors | 51c | 1,129$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…ccbfbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…d001backed Warriors | 51c | 1,127$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…8821backed Warriors | 51c | 1,126$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…4973backed Warriors | 51c | 1,122$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…faecbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,119$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…598bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,117$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5796…fdedbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,116$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3de…2ec2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,116$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…775abacked Warriors | 51c | 1,115$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a16…8447backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,115$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…517cbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,114$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2a…f03ebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,112$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7874…41f2backed Warriors | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…a23abacked Warriors | 51c | 1,110$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…5ae4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,110$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…baeebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,109$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…84ffbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,109$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1014…e946backed Warriors | 51c | 1,101$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe511…ef8bbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,101$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed3…aa84backed Warriors | 51c | 1,101$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…be0dbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…59b7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,099$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…bfc9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,099$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…8d32backed Warriors | 51c | 1,099$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…37e8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,098$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…376abacked Warriors | 51c | 1,097$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…9869backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,097$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bde…d76cbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,096$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ec…a1c0backed Warriors | 51c | 1,093$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. GrizzliesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.