TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84db…aeebbacked Under53c16,266$8,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,561.831,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c11,168$5,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,931.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c6,714$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under54c6,288$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.6743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over46c4,487$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.9126544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf7…4057backed Under45c3,696$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c3,570$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.834,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe266…6e00backed Under45c3,241$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc635…fb0ebacked Over55c3,188$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a3…a147backed Over55c2,902$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c2,760$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.162,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over47c2,469$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.3142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54e…20ddbacked Over55c2,455$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…6cabbacked Under45c2,455$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c2,313$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.881,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c2,247$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.92,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd0a…6862backed Over55c2,241$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07f…e2e6backed Over55c2,205$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over47c2,200$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.6117144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb43…f281backed Under45c2,141$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20c2…9ba3backed Over55c2,002$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d6…17f7backed Under45c1,963$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9842…42cdbacked Under45c1,688$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc1e…3c8ebacked Over55c1,477$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc633…210dbacked Under45c1,255$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6718749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4409556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under56c985.8$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Over47c805.7$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.028148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c799.71$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.851,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over47c799.45$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4920838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c747.24$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.723,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6849246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over54c731.86$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8416148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e31…d541backed Under45c650$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…7a79backed Over55c619$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Over50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5652951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under55c555$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.251,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under48c541.4$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8722143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.781,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c373.88$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Under46c315.46$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1117250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c313.54$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.183,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under46c301.63$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over47c297$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.41,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb42c…2e14backed Under45c274$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f52…fff3backed Over55c274$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c252$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.565,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c239.6$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2710849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdced…8a25backed Under52c171.41$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.91947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over51c143.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over44c134.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.211,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over48c133.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3348546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over48c114.61$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0564844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under47c114$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5862541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1111851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9794…32c9backed Over43c107.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bfd…ff86backed Under57c107.01$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3297…43cdbacked Under57c106.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.931250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under55c101.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.11,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516046.7%28 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Under54c99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4612538.4%48 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c96.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under15c93.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c69.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.952,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x923f…7a9dbacked Under51c55.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Under55c52.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.154853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b8…01eebacked Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6212548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under52c44.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.823,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed Under52c42.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226939.1%27 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3619848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7117444.3%77 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under54c32.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.721,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under53c31.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5150841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Over45c31.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1314448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.741251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8536350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under51c28.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3850351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Over51c27.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.453948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c24.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over50c24.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5145653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over45c22.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.652552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0976…922bbacked Over50c21.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.