NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fac418e8c753ce948366d52ddfd0e149b6308cfbeb182102624140dd3005f61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 43c | 14,898$6,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,492.04 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 7,580$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…c040backed Under | 52c | 7,524$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 56c | 6,528$3,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.75 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 47c | 5,915$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.81 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 57c | 5,675$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 4,141$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…ad8fbacked Under | 52c | 4,056$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 3,821$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 50c | 3,576$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9862…3ca8backed Under | 47c | 3,356$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 54c | 3,200$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9546…9235backed Over | 53c | 3,025$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 2,802$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…ab5abacked Under | 47c | 2,633$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe6…e9bcbacked Over | 53c | 2,552$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…3145backed Under | 47c | 2,480$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa13…b96bbacked Under | 47c | 2,448$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b38…7d45backed Over | 53c | 2,401$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…a402backed Over | 53c | 2,365$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 2,292$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.22 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…7cc5backed Over | 53c | 2,022$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…94c7backed Over | 48c | 1,854$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ee…6661backed Under | 47c | 1,756$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…fe4dbacked Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…4785backed Under | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…fe8abacked Over | 53c | 1,652$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 1,453$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.06 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 1,280$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f37…ff4bbacked Over | 48c | 1,263$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…70d7backed Over | 48c | 1,236$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169f…3796backed Under | 52c | 1,222$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bf…1f3ebacked Under | 52c | 1,185$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…9560backed Over | 48c | 1,181$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…341abacked Over | 48c | 1,163$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…d35bbacked Over | 48c | 1,160$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf685…3297backed Over | 48c | 1,151$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70e…6a9cbacked Over | 48c | 1,149$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…4f6bbacked Under | 52c | 1,145$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…0b85backed Over | 48c | 1,145$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…7a2abacked Over | 48c | 1,143$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…d4a2backed Over | 48c | 1,143$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…a875backed Over | 48c | 1,143$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…a116backed Over | 48c | 1,141$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…4623backed Over | 48c | 1,137$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…752abacked Over | 48c | 1,136$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…85b6backed Over | 48c | 1,132$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…94f1backed Over | 48c | 1,130$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…4b44backed Over | 48c | 1,129$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…e6e1backed Over | 48c | 1,128$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3c01backed Over | 48c | 1,128$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717b…adfebacked Over | 48c | 1,127$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad8…1bdcbacked Over | 48c | 1,127$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1a…c8ecbacked Under | 52c | 1,126$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…6098backed Over | 48c | 1,126$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…90f0backed Over | 48c | 1,124$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72f…685cbacked Over | 48c | 1,123$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…7cc3backed Over | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…dfd9backed Over | 48c | 1,108$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f84…25babacked Over | 48c | 1,106$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…99d5backed Over | 48c | 1,102$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…f57fbacked Over | 48c | 1,094$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…5242backed Over | 48c | 1,094$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0e…fa71backed Over | 48c | 1,086$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…d52cbacked Under | 52c | 1,081$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…b2f4backed Over | 48c | 1,081$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427f…b2d3backed Over | 48c | 1,080$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…1807backed Under | 52c | 1,072$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…c15cbacked Under | 52c | 1,070$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…ffefbacked Under | 52c | 1,069$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d93…478fbacked Over | 48c | 1,068$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf083…e368backed Over | 48c | 1,068$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…ba81backed Under | 52c | 1,068$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…a79abacked Under | 52c | 1,059$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…2b42backed Under | 52c | 1,056$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…9003backed Over | 48c | 1,055$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d5…aff2backed Under | 52c | 1,054$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…bb4abacked Under | 52c | 1,051$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ac…aec0backed Under | 52c | 1,045$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00a…599cbacked Over | 48c | 1,044$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7565…758cbacked Over | 48c | 1,043$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf972…a80ebacked Under | 52c | 1,026$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…da39backed Under | 52c | 1,023$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…eb0bbacked Under | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…cd34backed Under | 52c | 1,009$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839d…592cbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 50cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xace0…bbe1backed Under | 52c | 995$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…3091backed Under | 52c | 991$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3816…cce8backed Under | 52c | 984$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987f…f996backed Under | 52c | 984$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…84cabacked Under | 52c | 984$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6670…08fcbacked Under | 52c | 983$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb1…8be1backed Under | 52c | 980$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5d93backed Under | 52c | 965$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 41c | 964.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…0638backed Under | 52c | 944$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. GrizzliesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.