NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4091c5c8b568bee59a9c4a7241d07095b9035b1f7966b19c0e02ca39e602f94d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 49c | 65,822$32,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,511 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 51c | 49,864$25,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,531.97 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 24,016$11,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,168.87 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 51c | 13,585$6,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,887.21 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 50c | 9,221$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.58 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 47c | 8,034$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.84 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Over | 55c | 7,435$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…4fb4backed Under | 48c | 6,667$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 52c | 6,143$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.35 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 5,748$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 4,020$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.02 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 3,962$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 3,859$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 3,137$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 3,132$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.03 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ff…517fbacked Over | 52c | 3,100$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…3cc2backed Over | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 52c | 2,757$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.24 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,547$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 2,511$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.06 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…378fbacked Over | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Under | 54c | 2,116$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.51 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 46c | 2,110$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.81 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…2335backed Over | 46c | 2,105$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.54 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 54c | 2,069$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.83 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…db01backed Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 50c | 1,987$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,748$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…591dbacked Over | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,468$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ec…4c7fbacked Over | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.75 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.93 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8eb…3c59backed Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…52f1backed Over | 49c | 892.94$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a10…71a6backed Over | 52c | 666.65$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Under | 50c | 571.86$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.95 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 52c | 442.21$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.72 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 433.93$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 361.17$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 288.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 8c | 258.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 248.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 217.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 199.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 188.65$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 172.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 140.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 115.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 37c | 108.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…0d4ebacked Under | 44c | 106.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 75.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 54c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…4ffebacked Over | 53c | 65.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 47c | 60.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Over | 50c | 52.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 55c | 45.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 51c | 41.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Over | 46c | 38.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…c55fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…16f1backed Under | 51c | 37.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Over | 50c | 33.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…91ddbacked Under | 51c | 32.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 53c | 30.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 50c | 29.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 49c | 29.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 50c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Over | 56c | 26.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 25.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 51c | 25.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…9aa3backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Warriors won
- Al Horford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Al Horford: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Al Horford: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- GG Jackson II: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Moses Moody: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Scotty Pippen Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Warriors vs. GrizzliesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.