TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Knicks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$781,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$785,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pistons50c436,958$218,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218,617.287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks50c271,056$135,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135,528.111,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons49c70,148$34,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,039.8687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks50c42,632$21,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,335.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks50c26,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Knicks50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Knicks52c23,030$11,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,975.5711252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons48c22,303$10,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,542.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…37bbbacked Pistons47c20,984$9,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,121.521457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Knicks50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0007946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons48c16,667$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,666.6711457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Knicks50c15,677$7,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,829.0859347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c2…722ebacked Knicks52c15,385$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons48c14,973$7,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,811.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Knicks51c14,560$7,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,417.7642648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Knicks51c13,532$6,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,889.0224053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Knicks53c12,470$6,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,608.8715349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks50c12,425$6,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,222.554,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Knicks52c12,043$6,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,261.461,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Pistons48c11,101$5,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,772.4344352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks52c10,466$5,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,436.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Knicks51c8,603$4,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,387.530446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Knicks51c8,431$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Knicks51c8,292$4,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,228.926657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks51c7,757$3,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,95670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons49c7,356$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.551,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons49c6,500$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.9858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons48c6,494$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Knicks53c6,342$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.3615844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks50c6,254$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1271,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Knicks51c6,000$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.985846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Knicks51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Knicks51c5,818$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96716640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Pistons48c5,478$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.3119445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6129…0bdebacked Pistons47c5,250$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Knicks51c5,069$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.137747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Pistons49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55015147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Pistons49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons50c4,360$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.041,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Knicks52c4,202$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.9521549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pistons51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Knicks50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccd…0a40backed Knicks53c3,727$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc97b…5d42backed Pistons47c3,698$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe629…d7a5backed Pistons47c3,630$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf8a…68a7backed Knicks53c3,616$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks50c3,491$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.4277348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81d8…9cd4backed Knicks53c3,399$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…ab39backed Knicks53c3,385$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ba…e11dbacked Pistons47c3,358$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Knicks50c3,333$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.514753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a81…d811backed Knicks53c3,311$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c8…32d7backed Knicks53c3,202$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7071…8e80backed Pistons47c3,147$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6810…d05cbacked Knicks53c3,146$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7437…3075backed Knicks53c3,120$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.2256453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pistons49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.221,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Pistons48c3,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55010042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Knicks52c2,993$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.3615450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Knicks51c2,957$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50825452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6d…5c6dbacked Pistons47c2,907$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.71540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Knicks51c2,705$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.5517550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x616f…4bf3backed Knicks53c2,655$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd606…8cf0backed Knicks53c2,604$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…f068backed Knicks53c2,533$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks51c2,462$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.293,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee1…a7b5backed Knicks53c2,438$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94eb…0d7ebacked Knicks53c2,404$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Knicks51c2,388$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.8140350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc815…5a97backed Pistons47c2,365$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Knicks52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.951,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2983…877fbacked Knicks53c2,134$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca6f…34fbbacked Knicks53c2,015$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pistons50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pistons49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44e3…8248backed Knicks53c1,969$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Knicks51c1,955$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecba…ef1fbacked Pistons47c1,929$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Knicks51c1,923$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Knicks52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Pistons47c1,870$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.0317249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x091d…249fbacked Pistons47c1,844$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ea…8762backed Knicks53c1,755$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons49c1,737$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pistons49c1,700$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.7743348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Pistons48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.6111044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8421…7dcabacked Knicks53c1,636$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fed…379cbacked Pistons47c1,594$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5905…0b14backed Pistons47c1,573$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d61…f8d6backed Pistons47c1,563$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks50c1,504$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.424,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f8…dbd3backed Knicks53c1,477$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons62c1,436$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.773,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Knicks51c1,429$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.611946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8076…b1cabacked Knicks53c1,396$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.8850%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a32…906dbacked Pistons47c1,383$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.