NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4595dee33fc2594ce131d32808d51356b4bc76e210a047b1159b6638badcf5e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Knicks, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $781,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $785,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 50c | 436,958$218,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,617.2 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks | 50c | 271,056$135,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,528.11 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons | 49c | 70,148$34,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,039.86 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks | 50c | 42,632$21,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,335.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 50c | 26,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Knicks | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Knicks | 52c | 23,030$11,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,975.57 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 48c | 22,303$10,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,542.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…37bbbacked Pistons | 47c | 20,984$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,121.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Knicks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons | 48c | 16,667$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,666.67 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Knicks | 50c | 15,677$7,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,829.08 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…722ebacked Knicks | 52c | 15,385$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 48c | 14,973$7,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,811.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Knicks | 51c | 14,560$7,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,417.76 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Knicks | 51c | 13,532$6,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,889.02 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Knicks | 53c | 12,470$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.87 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 50c | 12,425$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,222.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Knicks | 52c | 12,043$6,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,261.46 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Pistons | 48c | 11,101$5,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.43 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 52c | 10,466$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,436.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Knicks | 51c | 8,603$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.5 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Knicks | 51c | 8,431$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Knicks | 51c | 8,292$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.92 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks | 51c | 7,757$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 49c | 7,356$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.55 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 48c | 6,494$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Knicks | 53c | 6,342$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.36 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 50c | 6,254$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Knicks | 51c | 6,000$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.98 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Knicks | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Knicks | 51c | 5,818$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Pistons | 48c | 5,478$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.31 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0bdebacked Pistons | 47c | 5,250$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Knicks | 51c | 5,069$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.1 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Pistons | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Pistons | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 50c | 4,360$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.04 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Knicks | 52c | 4,202$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.95 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pistons | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Knicks | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…0a40backed Knicks | 53c | 3,727$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…5d42backed Pistons | 47c | 3,698$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…d7a5backed Pistons | 47c | 3,630$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8a…68a7backed Knicks | 53c | 3,616$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks | 50c | 3,491$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.42 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…9cd4backed Knicks | 53c | 3,399$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…ab39backed Knicks | 53c | 3,385$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ba…e11dbacked Pistons | 47c | 3,358$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Knicks | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…d811backed Knicks | 53c | 3,311$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…32d7backed Knicks | 53c | 3,202$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…8e80backed Pistons | 47c | 3,147$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…d05cbacked Knicks | 53c | 3,146$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…3075backed Knicks | 53c | 3,120$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 48c | 3,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Knicks | 52c | 2,993$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.36 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Knicks | 51c | 2,957$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…5c6dbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,907$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Knicks | 51c | 2,705$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.55 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…4bf3backed Knicks | 53c | 2,655$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…8cf0backed Knicks | 53c | 2,604$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…f068backed Knicks | 53c | 2,533$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks | 51c | 2,462$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee1…a7b5backed Knicks | 53c | 2,438$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…0d7ebacked Knicks | 53c | 2,404$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Knicks | 51c | 2,388$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.81 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…5a97backed Pistons | 47c | 2,365$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Knicks | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.95 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…877fbacked Knicks | 53c | 2,134$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…34fbbacked Knicks | 53c | 2,015$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pistons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…8248backed Knicks | 53c | 1,969$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Knicks | 51c | 1,955$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…ef1fbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,929$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Knicks | 51c | 1,923$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Knicks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Pistons | 47c | 1,870$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.03 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091d…249fbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,844$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…8762backed Knicks | 53c | 1,755$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,737$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pistons | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.77 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Pistons | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.61 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…7dcabacked Knicks | 53c | 1,636$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…379cbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,594$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…0b14backed Pistons | 47c | 1,573$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d61…f8d6backed Pistons | 47c | 1,563$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks | 50c | 1,504$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f8…dbd3backed Knicks | 53c | 1,477$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 62c | 1,436$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Knicks | 51c | 1,429$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.6 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…b1cabacked Knicks | 53c | 1,396$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…906dbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,383$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. KnicksPistons won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.