TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Knicks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons53c123,770$65,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,171.841,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Knicks47c104,256$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,000.192445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons53c34,555$18,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,240.887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Knicks47c20,888$9,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,758.4838251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons51c12,768$6,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,307.152,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Knicks49c11,846$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Knicks47c10,791$5,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,114.5451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Knicks48c10,789$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,18048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons51c9,999$5,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.4945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Knicks49c8,357$4,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,09534854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks47c8,203$3,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,846.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Knicks47c8,115$3,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,814.142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Knicks48c7,571$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Pistons45c6,984$3,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,840.6417249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Knicks55c6,894$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.587150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks46c6,450$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Pistons54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.5620849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks47c5,375$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Knicks48c3,706$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.854327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons54c3,606$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.5889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pistons54c3,600$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.9950653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks48c3,325$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.8970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Knicks48c2,758$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.7515450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Knicks48c2,726$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.5458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pistons55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12533146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Pistons52c2,150$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0326556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks47c1,500$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7041,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Knicks47c1,383$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6506352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks25c1,340$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons52c1,290$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.823,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons52c1,242$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Pistons52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5761,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Pistons51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons55c974$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.642,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks47c903.39$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Knicks26c895.44$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.8421642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Knicks48c831.25$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39924450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Knicks47c754.74$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.3812642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6956…d189backed Knicks24c692.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons51c690.7$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.442,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons53c685$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.911,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Pistons50c600$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30227052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Pistons49c599$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0912458.9%73 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Knicks47c591.43$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.971,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks46c574.06$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.133,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks47c564.85$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.923,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Pistons53c505.05$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3722048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Pistons53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23549345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Pistons53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.752951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks56c468.63$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.131,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks28c436.8$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.861,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Knicks48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19225951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Knicks49c390$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.14156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Pistons54c339.73$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.181,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks50c324.27$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1451146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Knicks49c316.06$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8752242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks47c311.87$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.223,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Pistons53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14123435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Pistons53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14166645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pistons51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Pistons52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Knicks49c297.21$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6340546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Knicks46c280.77$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.287453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Knicks47c272.34$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12832450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Knicks47c257.07$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.912,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Knicks47c225$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.751,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2de…8438backed Knicks49c204.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons51c203.59$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.774,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Pistons52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.678652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Pistons52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3129554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc1…36bbbacked Pistons53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Knicks37c170.57$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9517233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pistons52c159.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pistons53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9439552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks25c147$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.751,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc1…3512backed Pistons54c141.56$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.371553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Pistons53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.813639.7%54 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Pistons53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0872250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Knicks33c128.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.844440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pistons52c126.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.921,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.751,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Pistons53c123.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5692750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons69c120.86$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.393,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Pistons52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.388456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Pistons54c110.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9638350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks46c108.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.161,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks46c108.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c75…d40bbacked Pistons52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.771540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks46c103.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb8…6c31backed Knicks49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pistons52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4851651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Pistons52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1529348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Pistons52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1521948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Pistons54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5918644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Knicks55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014040%56 W · 84 L-13.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Pistons54c90.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.597152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks36c82.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.023,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Knicks42c82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4428245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.