NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x832947562cdc14d36abe875716126efe3ac6ace650024e45cd1da765a40d4e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 24,242$11,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,138.77 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 54c | 17,341$9,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,364.14 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 3,994$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.7 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 53c | 3,770$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,507$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 2,168$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.81 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 1,890$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.72 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 45c | 1,862$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.9 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 64c | 1,321$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.77 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 36c | 1,100$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 55c | 910$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 45c | 741.81$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 49c | 673.89$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.93 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 523.58$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.18 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 267.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 112.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 87.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 79.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Over | 64c | 78.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 44c | 70.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 43c | 65.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 36c | 57.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 55c | 54.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 52c | 47.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 28c | 40.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 51c | 27.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 47c | 25.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Over | 51c | 21.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 56c | 19.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. KnicksPistons won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.