NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x978329ecd66cc2e22a0e8603ae6459c140182fa327eb1bc97ec15aa49248de76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 30,145$14,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,726.4 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 52c | 22,223$11,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,604.53 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 18,371$9,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,515.13 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 3,962$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.08 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.88 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 2,997$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 2,700$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,006$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,769$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 1,691$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,563$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 695.5$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 49c | 297.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 53c | 220.55$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Under | 52c | 209.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 185.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 154.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 146.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 52c | 140.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 39c | 129.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Under | 69c | 126.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 34c | 115.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 104.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 55c | 90.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 80.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 53c | 71.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Under | 52c | 68.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Over | 49c | 60.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…b448backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…d200backed Under | 52c | 52.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 49.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 43.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…361abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…415fbacked Under | 53c | 38.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 53c | 36.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 52c | 34.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 52c | 30.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Under | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…ce5fbacked Under | 51c | 19.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 55c | 18.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. KnicksPistons won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.