NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe863d17ea232fc45898aef4d870eda007c03ca6b2e094a3a9bc96c2a7b42186c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 22,850$11,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,625.09 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Under | 53c | 18,209$9,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,733 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 51c | 6,957$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.75 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 6,924$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 6,850$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 47c | 6,307$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.9 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 5,459$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.39 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 51c | 4,247$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 55c | 2,700$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.81 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 53c | 2,576$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.65 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 2,368$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.22 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,722$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 54c | 1,147$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.83 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…722ebacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 50c | 702.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 609$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 496$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 396.36$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Over | 51c | 295.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 223.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 51c | 197.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 148.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 104.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 46c | 101.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…361abacked Over | 36c | 55.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 51c | 55.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Under | 52c | 48.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 57c | 46.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 48c | 45.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 44.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 42.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd075…3d1fbacked Over | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 37.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 48c | 28.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 55c | 27.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 27.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 53c | 26.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Over | 52c | 24.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. KnicksPistons won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.