NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaffba6e3123da46546bf2c3063ccbf39f043750f7161044b97835242b37ec872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 56c | 7,059$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.08 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 4,963$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 71c | 3,963$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.42 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 35c | 3,781$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.07 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Under | 61c | 2,582$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.02 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 1,951$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 5c | 1,803$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 780$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.6 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 47c | 765.34$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.63 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 42c | 731.34$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 699.2$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 684.53$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 543.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Over | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 22c | 460.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 35c | 426.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.52 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 404.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.42 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 40c | 324.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 30c | 291.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 52c | 220.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 47c | 189.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 178.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Over | 76c | 155.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 154$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 127.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 126.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 24c | 106.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 38c | 105.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 42c | 92.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 49c | 88.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 43c | 77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 52c | 70.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 76c | 62.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Under | 59c | 58.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 54.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 21c | 52.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 21c | 49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…61debacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 54c | 45.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Over | 47c | 39.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 36.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 25.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Over | 49c | 20.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. KnicksPistons won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.