TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Knicks, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,788,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,902,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,788,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,666 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Knicks45c300,000$134,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,189.2723257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Hornets54c252,401$137,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,313.9972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks1c159,007$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.821,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets56c133,929$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,928.5736549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Hornets55c126,563$69,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,953.3519754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks42c120,556$50,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,616.271,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hornets54c111,051$59,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,083.2911457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Hornets54c100,015$53,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,340.2311955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets76c96,617$73,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,188.0266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Knicks24c78,315$18,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,795.7237539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Knicks46c77,250$35,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,321.6211543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ec…cec7backed Knicks0c74,520$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks43c69,577$29,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,653.551,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks45c65,580$29,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,598.741,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks43c55,399$23,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,871.012,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Hornets51c52,200$26,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,577.784445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Knicks40c49,291$19,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,695.9232540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Knicks4c48,730$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.2342348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Knicks1c46,818$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.9427917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba69…8e9dbacked Hornets56c46,173$25,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,315.981573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks45c46,057$20,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,879.3396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Hornets54c45,000$24,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,7005750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets78c40,776$31,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,862.644,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Knicks38c39,973$15,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,201.2520744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed Hornets56c36,487$20,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,054.342360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Hornets56c34,887$19,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,350.3619954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Knicks49c29,960$14,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,5533438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Knicks48c29,061$13,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,967.6162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Knicks28c28,201$8,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,016.588225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd669…46ecbacked Knicks45c27,230$12,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,185.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks21c26,314$5,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,523.913,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets55c25,242$13,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,375.961,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Knicks0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Hornets64c22,737$14,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,262.7334456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks21c21,997$4,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5751,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Hornets53c21,000$11,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,869.933847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e6…7ce6backed Knicks47c20,994$9,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,867.021855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Knicks47c20,590$9,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,677.318151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets77c20,270$15,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,623.321,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Knicks34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,80049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Knicks45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0008345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Hornets55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.994151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks46c18,616$8,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,475.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Knicks10c18,405$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.681417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks46c16,001$7,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,320.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Hornets68c15,848$10,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.255250%26 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks11c15,134$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.711,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks0c15,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c36…7854backed Hornets56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6002263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Knicks38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9810949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Knicks49c13,879$6,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800.648061.3%49 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets62c13,352$8,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,103.952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hornets49c13,278$6,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,771.891,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets64c13,193$8,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,694.933,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Hornets55c13,000$7,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,807.52025%5 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Hornets56c12,857$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,657.144845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Hornets72c12,789$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.494257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Knicks45c12,733$5,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,729.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Knicks47c12,440$5,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,881.5261336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Knicks49c12,200$5,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9785032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,519.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets53c11,067$5,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,201.711,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Knicks45c10,894$4,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,902.1637944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Knicks47c10,623$4,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9931233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70ce…079fbacked Knicks49c10,300$5,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0471526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Knicks49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Knicks47c10,188$4,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,752.2487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks39c10,174$3,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,971.272,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Knicks0c10,098$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.043179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Hornets51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.986352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Knicks44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9710641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Knicks45c9,743$4,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,384.277945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks40c9,137$3,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.9193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets73c9,126$6,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks47c8,662$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Knicks45c8,304$3,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.5824744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Knicks46c7,573$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,482.4217356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Knicks22c7,323$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.7336023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Knicks1c7,111$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5867911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6734…2e18backed Knicks48c6,227$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007459.5%44 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Knicks46c6,190$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.47248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets62c6,100$3,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3131,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ff1…cfe5backed Hornets51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fd…10e4backed Knicks20c5,950$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.32147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Knicks54c5,913$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.7434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06b2…0c61backed Knicks0c5,585$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed Knicks13c5,534$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.69185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…eb68backed Knicks47c5,500$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Knicks23c5,356$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.976341.3%26 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hornets54c5,317$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.7635650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Knicks38c5,261$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.994231%13 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Hornets76c5,232$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.34573.3%33 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Hornets48c5,228$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.2629250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Knicks26c5,200$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.0712437.9%47 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Knicks25c5,101$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.021,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Knicks17c5,089$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.9625226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks26c5,087$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.752,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Knicks45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Knicks45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2506147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…7a23backed Knicks49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.