TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over46c25,347$11,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,784.1843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under46c9,996$4,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,397.6344352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c9,037$4,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,155.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under54c8,002$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under56c5,792$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.3926544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over44c4,476$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.6324744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over48c3,389$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.1824053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c2,667$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over72c2,276$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.6965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Under72c1,900$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5326341.3%26 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c1,769$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.271,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c1,688$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over44c1,539$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over28c1,464$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.0152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c1,374$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.723,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0588…1845backed Under55c1,349$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over44c718.47$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5532150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under38c499.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9935849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c499.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9933150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under59c483.5$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over43c445.87$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.652,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c400.11$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.632,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over61c385.39$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.363,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under46c381.35$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9742153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over44c344.61$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6320147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Over45c300.67$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c259.07$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.815,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over40c220$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.226345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under54c201.87$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8690957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under53c194.72$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.71,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Under54c184.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.278256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over46c179.93$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7716242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e11…e061backed Over44c171$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c169.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a6…f86bbacked Over44c162$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Over28c157.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0337848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under53c157.03$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.855347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under60c156.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.461,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Over44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over45c138$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.154246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under29c102.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.081,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under54c93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under28c92.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under52c81.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.111,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over54c77.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8912055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under54c74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0414844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Under67c70.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4219166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under28c69.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.281,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…abacbacked Under56c68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c65.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.33,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9997…c15dbacked Under57c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7632747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7627345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7632947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.649247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…cc57backed Under47c52.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.914763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Over43c50.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.846950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c49.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.575,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over60c48.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.115663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Over48c48.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.052937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over67c47.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.088952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over47c47.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xaee1…908abacked Over43c45.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.762437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d60…e01abacked Under57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2088…f932backed Over55c44.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb61b…9a1ebacked Under56c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over28c41.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b9…cea8backed Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over44c39.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under56c38.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7fd…d484backed Under39c38.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over44c37.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6624841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over62c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c36.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.743,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c36.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…3fb1backed Over37c32.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.979347.3%44 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over58c30.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.868134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under50c30.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.251,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9f…5734backed Under53c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Over57c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.536532.3%21 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce9…a7d6backed Under57c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Under58c27.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.594645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2710850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Over46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.426437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under62c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1313541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over48c24.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.850948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ae…18c8backed Under57c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Over44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.024240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe343…ab9ebacked Under58c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2691…d255backed Under56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.