NBA · resolved market
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff813890cf15fe6a4b7fa0f92f565f30b49da55f1fc9c6e3b6e4682ba201e286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 54c | 2,520$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.39 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 45c | 1,750$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.5 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 47c | 639.29$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.55 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes | 55c | 247.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…d43fbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…5f1fbacked No | 45c | 199.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked No | 51c | 171.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 56c | 109.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Yes | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 45c | 68.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…af2cbacked Yes | 58c | 34.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 44c | 29.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 13.5this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. HornetsHornets won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Under won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.