NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7adcb56067e36a4f881afbdaec3ad7f6ca659f7bc44e6831797e8d446f61b840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Hornets | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,607.84 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks | 49c | 15,832$7,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,792.07 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Hornets | 51c | 6,890$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.45 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Knicks | 49c | 4,429$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.12 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Hornets | 50c | 3,922$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.92 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Knicks | 49c | 3,750$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 49c | 3,058$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.42 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hornets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Knicks | 51c | 2,745$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…5596backed Knicks | 51c | 1,902$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Knicks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Knicks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…f266backed Hornets | 49c | 999.9$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 49c | 784$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Hornets | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks | 50c | 589.77$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.89 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 51c | 570.2$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Knicks | 32c | 559.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Hornets | 50c | 500.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…f7dabacked Knicks | 46c | 331.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 49c | 329.24$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets | 52c | 308.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Hornets | 64c | 307.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Knicks | 49c | 306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Knicks | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Knicks | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hornets | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Knicks | 51c | 195.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Hornets | 48c | 191.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Hornets | 57c | 188.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 66c | 177.14$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5265…0d3bbacked Knicks | 32c | 158.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Knicks | 42c | 155.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets | 49c | 146.28$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Knicks | 52c | 115.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…76bbbacked Knicks | 52c | 113.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Knicks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Hornets | 49c | 101.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…eb61backed Hornets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Hornets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Knicks | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets | 54c | 94.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Knicks | 41c | 92.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Knicks | 51c | 91.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks | 39c | 91.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Knicks | 37c | 71.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hornets | 61c | 64.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Hornets | 49c | 64.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Hornets | 53c | 61.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Hornets | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Knicks | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Hornets | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…9337backed Hornets | 50c | 48.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…13c8backed Hornets | 63c | 47.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Knicks | 51c | 44.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Knicks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…b182backed Hornets | 58c | 34.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Hornets | 59c | 32.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Hornets | 59c | 32.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hornets | 58c | 30.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Hornets | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed Knicks | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 66.9%164 W · 81 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 49c | 26.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Knicks | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Knicks | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…6437backed Hornets | 50c | 23.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Hornets | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed Hornets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Hornets | 63c | 16.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 144 | 71.5%103 W · 41 L | +22.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-2.5)this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Coby White: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. HornetsHornets won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5Under won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.