TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$668,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$670,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under53c272,186$143,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,498.3487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over47c211,563$99,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,434.7626253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over49c65,361$32,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,184.843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6e…48e6backed Under52c47,417$24,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,849.972661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c27,008$12,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,963.841,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d2…a3d5backed Under53c23,888$12,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,227.327100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under43c20,000$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.8944352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c11,782$5,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8911,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c10,988$5,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,261.14,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c9,884$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.311,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c9,159$4,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,375.232,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ecf…4ed7backed Under53c8,989$4,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ff…c158backed Under53c8,479$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.13560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf054…1a95backed Over47c8,248$3,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,876.56540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa121…2dfabacked Under53c8,224$4,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c8,142$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe145…f836backed Over47c6,968$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,274.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf4…6461backed Over48c6,099$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under55c5,836$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.1526544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e26…c747backed Over47c5,802$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c5,737$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.693,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd08f…ae9ebacked Over48c5,639$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f40…bc47backed Under52c5,586$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7608…1d05backed Over47c5,208$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a7…5a3bbacked Over47c5,157$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x543c…e7a2backed Over48c5,018$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9816346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3021…3a6abacked Under53c4,855$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb89c…49b2backed Over47c4,823$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960a…6e8cbacked Over47c4,823$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfbb…0dadbacked Over47c4,817$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee0…2545backed Over47c4,774$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+61.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19cd…a44fbacked Under52c4,678$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c4,636$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.421,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d5…3e96backed Under52c4,622$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,218.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34d8…fe8bbacked Over48c4,606$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed6b…9032backed Over47c4,580$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd996…1fa3backed Under53c4,574$2,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0252…bc75backed Over47c4,558$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb1…f3acbacked Over47c4,541$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.271369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce75…c5f6backed Over47c4,500$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1151070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb256…ecb2backed Under52c4,421$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79f1…6e8dbacked Over47c4,352$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.441346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over57c4,333$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.723,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcae…ef67backed Under53c4,315$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd829…c5eabacked Over47c4,307$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c4,292$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…461fbacked Under53c4,259$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb89a…0134backed Under53c4,191$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904f…2920backed Under53c4,167$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Over49c4,075$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.9310046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0f…0c6dbacked Under53c4,072$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0605…bf96backed Under53c4,039$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cae…1213backed Over47c4,001$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00e…78bebacked Over47c3,991$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeac…a7e7backed Over47c3,929$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7455…8197backed Under52c3,917$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c33…f464backed Over47c3,862$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+56.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf4e…7ad2backed Over47c3,797$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca3c…6081backed Under53c3,771$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c40…557dbacked Over48c3,731$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc7…f537backed Under53c3,702$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.946100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under51c3,597$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.9857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6b…013bbacked Under53c3,595$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce66…ed0bbacked Under53c3,580$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4550…7763backed Under52c3,434$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e53…5bbabacked Under52c3,363$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…576abacked Over47c3,274$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47b7…7c5bbacked Under53c3,073$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.314100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x120c…8ce9backed Over48c2,979$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c2,921$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.664,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ad…c314backed Over47c2,806$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over48c2,717$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.1548054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa817…9c4bbacked Over47c2,713$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6196…24cfbacked Over48c2,629$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Under53c2,597$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.459352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb46c…82cebacked Over47c2,566$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcd…e473backed Over47c2,471$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc9…48b9backed Over47c2,412$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b16…3271backed Under52c2,378$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13ad…433cbacked Over48c2,277$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c2,245$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1bf…ec3ebacked Over47c2,229$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.6340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Under50c2,196$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0982231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f4e…0ddebacked Over48c2,189$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764d…8175backed Under53c2,173$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc26…4421backed Over47c2,147$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc81…fb2abacked Over47c2,107$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71fb…2a4ebacked Over47c2,107$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…b213backed Over47c2,107$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd268…b4e4backed Over47c2,084$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…e5efbacked Over47c2,078$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb41d…53b1backed Over47c2,029$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under53c2,023$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.8158347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98014245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98087049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0d…04e5backed Over47c1,992$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2fc…47babacked Under53c1,989$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.