TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$618,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$623,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under51c242,266$123,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,894.8487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Over49c95,850$46,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,966.53129%9 W · 22 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over50c44,725$22,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,519.5643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over49c44,445$21,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,778.0566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over50c43,838$21,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,918.9744352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over61c31,896$19,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,338.124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under49c14,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,099.956654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over49c13,000$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3708839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under36c11,644$4,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,452.1276054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Over49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c10,087$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,223.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under38c9,979$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,186.6719954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c8,547$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.3432846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c7,140$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,708.461,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over51c6,078$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6612…09febacked Under51c5,896$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65c…5132backed Under50c5,664$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0cd…1573backed Under50c5,650$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e2d…349ebacked Under50c5,632$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c5,488$2,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,761.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c5,203$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.922,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff91…a0acbacked Under50c5,195$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under45c5,120$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.7752052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7bd…8ccfbacked Under50c5,089$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d20…b959backed Under50c5,087$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabdb…db2abacked Under50c5,064$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce22…33b3backed Over50c4,971$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c4,961$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf2…632abacked Over50c4,861$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef4…b629backed Under50c4,464$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd6…eaebbacked Over50c4,455$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd008…144ebacked Over50c4,443$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ff…bda8backed Over50c4,376$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c0…0b2ebacked Over50c4,373$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee94…b980backed Over50c4,372$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under38c4,349$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.1214953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa53c…ac35backed Over50c4,121$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0338…820fbacked Over50c4,105$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over49c4,080$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.1928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over50c3,998$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under49c3,949$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01416249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c6…9479backed Under50c3,905$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1016…9422backed Over50c3,881$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727a…4afcbacked Over50c3,860$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a21…1da0backed Under50c3,839$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaba6…7e8abacked Over50c3,695$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d47…367ebacked Under50c3,478$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd571…464fbacked Over50c3,447$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe088…97c5backed Over50c3,373$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cd…ffe2backed Under50c3,355$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacab…b678backed Under50c3,227$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under50c3,196$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.7357950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69f…63edbacked Over50c3,083$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over66c3,036$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00060444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c2,998$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.0569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under49c2,970$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.6914245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc41…81b8backed Under50c2,968$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under42c2,960$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.992,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c2,854$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.764,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under48c2,719$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.725547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c6…344abacked Over50c2,597$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe40c…8810backed Over50c2,592$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104b…d04abacked Over50c2,590$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1957…4bb3backed Under50c2,540$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2703100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under38c2,414$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.684639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0594…fdedbacked Over50c2,328$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d58…59dfbacked Under50c2,302$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under37c2,251$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.013545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e9f…f4d2backed Over50c2,241$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d83…0ef7backed Over50c2,225$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c2,200$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.9935749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8167…cc4dbacked Under50c2,185$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c2,104$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over61c2,008$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.867152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under50c2,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01021049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over51c2,000$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66a…5c87backed Under50c1,920$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c1,840$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under49c1,751$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.026237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c1,642$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.512,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,569$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.131,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over51c1,560$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over51c1,450$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.514946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over6c1,349$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c1,342$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.982,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under49c1,294$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd753…0c67backed Under51c1,288$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over51c1,162$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.2114251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8883…767ebacked Over50c1,121$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over50c1,079$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under48c1,074$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.861,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c1,054$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.412,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44144252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4930…d2efbacked Under50c886$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over49c831.75$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c812.74$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.843,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c788.68$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.681,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.