TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over53c29,740$15,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,665.2143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c27,595$13,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,801.241,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c23,198$10,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,236.114,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over50c21,130$10,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,56512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c19,215$9,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,612.951,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under48c11,040$5,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.9124744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabc9…1af6backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd4…2bfebacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…1845backed Over50c8,160$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0801435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Over50c7,708$3,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8541844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f3…f9fabacked Over51c5,724$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc76…fd50backed Under49c5,664$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over52c5,462$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,866.8657950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a8…7ef9backed Under49c5,111$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x271f…a473backed Over51c4,340$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…131cbacked Under47c4,279$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f73…d3d6backed Under49c4,134$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34c…6c49backed Under46c3,704$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf15b…63d4backed Over54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over51c3,484$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.9529055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe152…a081backed Over51c3,420$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…8680backed Under49c3,393$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc83d…93edbacked Over51c3,204$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c3,098$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.732,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9669…bdaabacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc4…5838backed Under49c2,910$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cef…1f3dbacked Over51c2,865$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c2,742$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.143,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,659$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad5…836abacked Under49c2,494$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…b87cbacked Over51c2,357$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d4a…a87cbacked Over51c2,143$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aca…fb24backed Over53c2,073$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c2,055$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.921,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0406357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7029…4331backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…f23dbacked Over53c1,883$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3e…665bbacked Over53c1,881$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe1…b037backed Under47c1,728$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over55c1,655$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.2542348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under47c1,550$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.2414245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c1,320$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c1,191$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.232,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa51…0fb4backed Under49c1,118$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e8…0b5abacked Over53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53021049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93d…e740backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under46c978.58$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.5787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over50c960$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4808353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9469…708dbacked Over53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c886.72$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.625,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over48c867.2$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.3714634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3482…b4a7backed Over51c771$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.21450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over50c684$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c673.94$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.082,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over51c670.92$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.8349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Over50c639.28$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.642759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd38f…2589backed Over54c632.23$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over56c612.26$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c600.11$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over50c580$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a7a…aff2backed Over51c568.63$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa36b…242dbacked Over55c561.91$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.831250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over54c402.17$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0524955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2045853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Over52c388.88$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2214059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c387$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over72c386.11$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over50c366.67$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18565649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Under47c321.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15319435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c300$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16084150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over50c284.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c283.91$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.191,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Over50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under48c269.07$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9217643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over55c255.12$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14060346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f7…32aabacked Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over51c243$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9347436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c228.12$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.211157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over50c206.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1124151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under38c205.31$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.731,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c202$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over54c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10722456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x918d…1462backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab88…3761backed Over60c200$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa12c…4834backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f2…9e0dbacked Under48c190$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under47c189.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10042153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.