TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Hurricanes, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,560,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,617,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,560,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Red Wings43c561,059$240,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320,414.3610840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hurricanes57c452,387$257,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257,860.4756152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Hurricanes58c314,595$182,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,46515953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings42c200,000$84,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,999.9667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Hurricanes58c143,620$82,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,635.621464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Hurricanes2c51,388$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.6330944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Hurricanes58c50,000$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,999.9948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Red Wings50c36,132$17,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,185.610753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings42c34,517$14,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,019.8779350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Hurricanes10c34,099$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.6932744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings42c33,267$13,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,295.148549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hurricanes5c32,815$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.1338748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hurricanes56c25,965$14,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,642.1456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Red Wings42c19,082$8,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,067.0761953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Hurricanes58c18,966$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0002846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings44c17,938$7,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,019.591,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings48c17,140$8,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,851.921,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings42c16,083$6,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,328.231,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Red Wings42c11,596$4,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.6715949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Red Wings43c11,500$4,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,55528353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings42c11,432$4,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,630.3328251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings42c10,996$4,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,377.912,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hurricanes50c10,969$5,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,484.4144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Red Wings42c9,524$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,523.818247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings42c8,461$3,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,895.6560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Hurricanes0c8,028$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.061458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Hurricanes57c7,777$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,432.8513363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Red Wings42c7,619$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.0252050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Hurricanes50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Hurricanes9c6,964$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.2729926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Red Wings43c6,952$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.6414940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings43c6,500$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7051,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Red Wings42c6,325$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,645.468134.6%28 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb53…1dd4backed Hurricanes1c6,188$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.493716.2%6 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Hurricanes57c6,140$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.7833243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Red Wings42c6,058$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.0593953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Red Wings43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings43c6,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.9161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hurricanes21c5,941$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.4738738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Red Wings45c5,910$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,273.1429651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings62c5,342$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.741,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes8c5,337$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Hurricanes58c5,257$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.061668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Hurricanes57c5,004$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.661,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9008134.6%28 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Red Wings43c4,863$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.7950049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Hurricanes50c4,656$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.9522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Hurricanes58c4,471$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.431753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Red Wings42c4,238$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.14841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Red Wings49c4,053$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.784778.7%37 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Red Wings42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3202941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes0c4,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Red Wings60c3,982$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.2312552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Hurricanes2c3,809$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.992174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Red Wings42c3,536$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.8530551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Hurricanes50c3,534$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.0817057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Red Wings43c3,395$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.3526946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hurricanes1c3,381$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.262504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Hurricanes57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hurricanes58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Hurricanes57c2,930$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.911968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df3…53d7backed Red Wings55c2,813$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.182955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Red Wings42c2,800$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,61444551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes35c2,642$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.31,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Red Wings42c2,640$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.214848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Hurricanes58c2,600$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.9910848.1%52 W · 56 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Hurricanes57c2,567$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.1726058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Red Wings42c2,484$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.9784953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes57c2,374$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.211,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Hurricanes57c2,345$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.191,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Red Wings63c2,317$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.1934538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hurricanes46c2,277$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.2413333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hurricanes1c2,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.657450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Hurricanes57c2,216$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.2522852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fb…f161backed Red Wings43c2,074$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Hurricanes57c2,064$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.4954047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Hurricanes49c2,045$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014047.9%67 W · 73 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Red Wings42c2,044$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.5220552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Red Wings43c1,744$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.199846.9%46 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Hurricanes58c1,739$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.773647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Hurricanes8c1,600$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.032236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Red Wings44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84024845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Hurricanes9c1,480$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7929412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Red Wings43c1,426$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80641248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Wings42c1,416$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.281,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Red Wings42c1,399$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.78450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Red Wings43c1,206$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.6928853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings43c1,200$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.0660249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Red Wings42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.27138%27 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Hurricanes27c1,142$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1932451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings50c1,111$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.7575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fea…00b0backed Hurricanes31c1,096$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Hurricanes32c1,077$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6915057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Hurricanes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Red Wings43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5702552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Hurricanes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206750.7%34 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes58c999.97$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9870547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Hurricanes43c939.53$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3911833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Hurricanes58c917.09$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9129551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Red Wings43c916.93$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.656847.1%32 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.