NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02eacef655403affeeb18fe08fb90a35c7b8349858a2d8cc31e3a1a244735d36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 5,059$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.45 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 44c | 2,500$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 59c | 1,500$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.27 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 1,128$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.56 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 59c | 945.51$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.66 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 41c | 900$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 874.67$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Over | 59c | 847.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.54 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 54c | 780.25$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.66 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 42c | 594$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 42c | 383.12$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.91 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Under | 48c | 381$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Over | 58c | 324.65$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 55c | 302.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.63 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Over | 59c | 299.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 59c | 262.56$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 59c | 224.42$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 59c | 118.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Over | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 59c | 88.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef4…96dfbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 39c | 75.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Over | 59c | 74.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 72.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Over | 52c | 65.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Over | 44c | 57.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 43c | 51.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Under | 44c | 48.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Under | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 59c | 31.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…4abfbacked Over | 58c | 30.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Under | 40c | 30.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…bc44backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 24.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Red WingsRed Wings won
- Hurricanes vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.