TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Blackhawks, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,678,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,785,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,678,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Sharks60c287,834$172,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,288.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks39c285,681$112,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,398.781,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Blackhawks41c232,541$94,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,498.0616442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Sharks61c144,560$88,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,778.3567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Sharks57c132,662$75,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,199.434841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Blackhawks38c103,025$39,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,380.9840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Blackhawks41c53,248$21,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,831.7211644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Sharks61c50,000$30,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,50036748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blackhawks22c47,961$10,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,471.8748545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Sharks59c39,612$23,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,240.864348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Sharks59c37,532$22,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,38848549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaaf…6c31backed Sharks60c34,245$20,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,539.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blackhawks35c24,850$8,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,614.689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Sharks59c24,244$14,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,940.043554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Sharks59c21,850$12,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,951.261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Sharks57c21,306$12,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,228.7627448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks49c20,043$9,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,804.292,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sharks78c19,690$15,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,331.9144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Sharks59c18,818$11,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,715.3812047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Blackhawks41c18,742$7,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,625.6441850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Blackhawks41c18,000$7,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3802552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Sharks59c15,707$9,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,439.8959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Sharks62c14,000$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,32026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3643…fd66backed Sharks59c13,855$8,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,680.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Blackhawks41c13,638$5,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,573.6212654.8%69 W · 57 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Sharks59c13,516$7,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,541.42347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Blackhawks38c11,987$4,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,554.912025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Blackhawks14c10,740$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46012552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Blackhawks6c10,672$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.351452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Blackhawks39c10,546$4,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,113.114452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blackhawks39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Blackhawks41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks40c10,000$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Blackhawks41c9,877$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.577258.3%42 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Blackhawks38c9,597$3,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.865350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Sharks59c8,810$5,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.174047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Sharks59c8,680$5,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,558.719254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c4…ee30backed Sharks59c8,605$5,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.121752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Sharks59c8,588$5,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+60.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Sharks59c8,200$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,362.191770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Blackhawks39c8,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Blackhawks7c7,535$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.723154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Sharks61c7,390$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.7532151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Blackhawks41c7,207$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.2710941.3%45 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Sharks60c7,081$4,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.8561748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Blackhawks41c6,868$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.3719759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Blackhawks39c6,666$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Sharks59c6,348$3,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.9643548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Sharks80c6,285$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.043450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Sharks79c6,266$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sharks59c6,237$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.2747951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Blackhawks41c5,294$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.6818853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Blackhawks38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…d693backed Sharks62c5,161$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Blackhawks18c5,132$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.6542254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Sharks59c5,000$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.0827850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Sharks59c4,999$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.761442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sharks59c4,877$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.242,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Blackhawks42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Sharks78c4,608$3,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.76456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Sharks60c4,600$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8202770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Blackhawks38c4,533$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.6112146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks29c4,492$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.832,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Blackhawks40c4,448$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Sharks80c4,435$3,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.051942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Blackhawks45c4,288$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.8333450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Sharks59c4,200$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.959751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Blackhawks24c4,126$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks59c4,000$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.6960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Sharks61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks38c3,799$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.6883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e3…2055backed Blackhawks38c3,683$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sharks60c3,619$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.661,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks60c3,601$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.781,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks45c3,588$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.391,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Sharks59c3,439$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9826750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Sharks61c3,286$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.874151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Blackhawks38c3,178$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.829038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Sharks74c3,094$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.511346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Sharks61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1703441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks47c2,939$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.631,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Blackhawks38c2,900$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1024738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Blackhawks41c2,710$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.144551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Sharks48c2,707$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.192867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Sharks59c2,661$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.0120756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Sharks60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0006758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Blackhawks41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Blackhawks40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011151.4%57 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Sharks59c2,450$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.4614954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf180…4b84backed Sharks62c2,256$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.094650%23 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks61c2,222$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.5886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Blackhawks41c2,204$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.617557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Sharks46c2,197$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.3519141.9%80 W · 111 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca9…f74dbacked Blackhawks41c2,195$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Blackhawks54c2,194$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.9514757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x335d…5692backed Blackhawks38c2,115$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce88…570abacked Blackhawks39c2,094$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x301d…47e7backed Sharks62c2,068$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.76650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc67…a7ddbacked Sharks62c2,048$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.374100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Blackhawks23c2,039$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7829448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.