NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd3b2f815e707d08c0cc5f166c72893d3d28ffc3f3b9adf6b4fb84a7161f7214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 5,034$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.58 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c4…ee30backed Over | 63c | 3,360$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 63c | 2,500$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.09 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 38c | 1,289$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.18 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 954.72$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.69 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Under | 35c | 948.4$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 38c | 893.67$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 34c | 756.64$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.21 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 698.41$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.65 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Over | 77c | 651.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 590.2$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 62c | 556.13$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.33 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 56c | 540.7$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.68 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 62c | 502.05$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 41c | 490.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.61 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 41c | 380.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 41c | 367.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.73 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 295.77$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 266.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 34c | 239$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 31c | 204.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…0730backed Under | 53c | 187.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 185.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 38c | 168.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 61c | 162.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 40c | 138.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 47c | 129$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 35c | 126.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 28c | 120.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 62c | 113$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 19c | 110.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 60c | 109.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…8ce1backed Under | 28c | 76.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 54c | 69.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…5c73backed Over | 46c | 68.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 21c | 62.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.45per pick | 24cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 19c | 59.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 36c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…20fabacked Under | 54c | 46.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d20bbacked Over | 77c | 46.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 25c | 45.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 40c | 45.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 72c | 41.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 57c | 31.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +16.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…2c71backed Under | 41c | 29.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 69c | 29.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 56c | 27.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 40c | 26.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 46c | 25.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Over | 63c | 21.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Over | 56c | 21.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Over | 73c | 21.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…a255backed Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 63c | 17.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Over | 75c | 16.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Over | 72c | 14.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 72c | 14.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 72c | 14.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Over | 72c | 14.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 72c | 14.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. SharksSharks won
- Blackhawks vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.