TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Canucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,238,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,238,508 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Canucks33c327,354$109,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,370.1567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canucks33c83,539$27,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,567.591,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators66c78,838$52,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,804.8856152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Senators67c45,954$30,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,163.1461950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Senators68c41,117$27,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,157.7815054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Canucks33c38,100$12,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,573.1410050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Senators67c36,706$24,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,113.1626849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Senators67c31,988$21,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,556.098252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Senators67c23,218$15,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,661.8416656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Senators68c16,050$10,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,128.6375251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Senators66c15,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10012047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Senators66c14,500$9,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,88021755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Senators67c13,026$8,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,298.684957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Senators67c12,568$8,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,160.1545751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Senators74c12,137$8,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.651,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Canucks32c11,844$3,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,790.035639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Senators66c11,630$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,930.471,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks32c11,156$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,569.971,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Senators67c10,615$7,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.191770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Senators67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Senators68c10,000$6,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,240.6189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Senators67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9861748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Senators66c9,568$6,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.941,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Senators67c9,150$6,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,019.5851452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4398…2c1bbacked Senators67c9,090$6,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459d…f6e2backed Senators67c8,545$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Senators69c7,983$5,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9914654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canucks25c7,100$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.2860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1190…f927backed Senators67c7,000$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Canucks32c6,302$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.871,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Canucks33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Senators68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Senators66c6,000$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.122747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44fe…b320backed Canucks32c5,300$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Canucks32c5,292$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.443240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Canucks5c5,221$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.894912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Canucks34c5,002$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Senators67c4,500$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48525552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Senators66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36011553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Senators66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Senators67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32019051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed Canucks32c3,999$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.652846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators66c3,775$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.851,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Senators67c3,767$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.8431851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Senators67c3,732$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.7931550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Senators66c3,383$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.2133243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canucks32c3,333$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5691945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed Senators68c3,023$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Canucks32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Senators67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a17…1b84backed Canucks34c2,942$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…e0c0backed Senators68c2,900$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Canucks23c2,877$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.079431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Senators67c2,800$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92483652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Senators68c2,798$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.231250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canucks31c2,742$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85047951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19be…03e2backed Senators68c2,700$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…de36backed Senators67c2,690$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.022458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Canucks32c2,596$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.5120552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Senators67c2,319$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.3359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Canucks33c2,297$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.8491653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Canucks32c2,260$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.155242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Senators67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b0…df60backed Senators67c2,209$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.081827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-52.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators67c2,142$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.8679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Senators67c2,039$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.028253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Senators67c2,017$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.623641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf378…cddbbacked Senators67c1,995$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93a3…7eb1backed Canucks33c1,995$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…38f9backed Canucks33c1,995$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.351060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x622f…4774backed Senators67c1,995$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.35977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+58.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf52e…4cadbacked Senators67c1,995$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.35977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf19…1702backed Canucks33c1,995$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.351154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8984…98dcbacked Senators67c1,995$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.351353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ff…61fbbacked Canucks33c1,995$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e6…8442backed Canucks33c1,995$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.351283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x658a…614dbacked Senators67c1,995$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22fb…044fbacked Senators67c1,990$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.71250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e57…7108backed Canucks33c1,990$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.71154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5fa…2dddbacked Canucks33c1,985$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc888…e0c3backed Senators67c1,985$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e5…b405backed Canucks33c1,985$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c20…1742backed Senators67c1,985$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.051145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb8…1f51backed Senators67c1,985$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.051145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2866…e103backed Canucks33c1,985$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3181…fa70backed Canucks33c1,985$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…a9b3backed Senators67c1,985$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.051154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfb…9c40backed Senators68c1,983$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5a…cfa3backed Canucks33c1,980$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.41080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+60%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fa8…9deabacked Senators67c1,980$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe144…4fd5backed Senators67c1,980$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0613…5914backed Canucks33c1,980$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…e1d9backed Canucks33c1,980$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a7…aa72backed Senators67c1,980$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe102…075ebacked Canucks33c1,975$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.751163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x832e…62b5backed Senators67c1,975$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af6…bf0dbacked Senators67c1,970$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bbf…8837backed Senators67c1,970$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b03…f006backed Canucks33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2d…633fbacked Canucks33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.