NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6209c13383acc36cd9e484bae79119bb5f7cd11a183a8f585719181e21779db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,030 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 53c | 5,730$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.93 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 3,450$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.43 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.14 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 53c | 3,302$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 3,195$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.76 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 3,086$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.63 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 3,024$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.78 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 49c | 2,054$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.9 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,128$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.05 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 52c | 925.58$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.28 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 52c | 839.86$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.21 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 49c | 809.52$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.65 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 791.85$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 45c | 691.95$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.27 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 660.55$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 48c | 519.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 49c | 456.66$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 401.07$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.73 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 50c | 400.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 48c | 366.55$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 249.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 49c | 247$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 233.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…ce37backed Under | 52c | 227.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 30c | 225.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 225.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 47c | 213.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Under | 52c | 207.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 51c | 205.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 204.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08f…2cb3backed Over | 49c | 199.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…dcdabacked Under | 52c | 194.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…e57dbacked Over | 48c | 188.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…6829backed Over | 48c | 187.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…2c4bbacked Under | 52c | 181.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5526…9318backed Over | 49c | 178.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…e717backed Under | 62c | 162.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…eb6abacked Under | 52c | 149.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over | 49c | 117.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 53c | 116.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 54c | 109.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 108.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 49c | 106.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Under | 52c | 104.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 48c | 94.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 71.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 49c | 71.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 49c | 68.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 50c | 65.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 58c | 53.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 28c | 52.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86e…c39bbacked Over | 49c | 45.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 52c | 40.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…9aaebacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…1d11backed Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 69c | 37.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 52c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Over | 49c | 35.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 51c | 31.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…3b90backed Over | 48c | 31.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…2d5dbacked Over | 49c | 29.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 25.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 49c | 23.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…8de2backed Over | 48c | 22.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 48c | 22.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 52c | 21.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 50c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Under | 52c | 21.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Under | 52c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 51c | 20.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Senators vs. CanucksSenators won
- Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.