TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb9b…9aae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.13
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.43
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.77
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.5%+$60.22
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$22.38
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.92
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.32
76ers vs. Pacersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Senators vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.41
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+67.6%+$30.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+266.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+266.2%+$47.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+45.2%+$22.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$2.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.